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David Kaplan; Kjorte Harra – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2024
This paper aims to showcase the value of implementing a Bayesian framework to analyze and report results from international large-scale assessments and provide guidance to users who want to analyse ILSA data using this approach. The motivation for this paper stems from the recognition that Bayesian statistical inference is fast becoming a popular…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Administrator Surveys, Teacher Surveys, Measurement
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Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianshen; Lyu, Weicong; Yavuz, Sinan – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
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Kaplan, David; Huang, Mingya – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2021
Of critical importance to education policy is monitoring trends in education outcomes over time. In the United States, the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) has provided long-term trend data since 1970; at the state/jurisdiction level, NAEP has provided long-term trend data since 1996. In addition to the national NAEP, all 50…
Descriptors: Educational Policy, Educational Trends, National Competency Tests, Bayesian Statistics