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Han Du; Brian Keller; Egamaria Alacam; Craig Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
In Bayesian statistics, the most widely used criteria of Bayesian model assessment and comparison are Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). A multilevel mediation model is used as an illustrative example to compare different types of DIC and WAIC. More specifically, the study compares the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Comparative Analysis, Probability
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Alex C. Garn; Andreas Stenling – Educational Psychology, 2024
This study investigated daily motivation regulation as a multilevel mediator of undergraduate students' intrinsic and extrinsic motivation and academic functioning. Undergraduate students (N = 124) completed measures on motivation, motivation regulation, and study time for 10 consecutive days leading up to a statistics exam. Bayesian multilevel…
Descriptors: Student Motivation, Prediction, Academic Achievement, Undergraduate Students
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Logacev, Pavel – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2023
A number of studies have found evidence for the so-called "ambiguity advantage," that is, faster processing of ambiguous sentences compared with unambiguous counterparts. While a number of proposals regarding the mechanism underlying this phenomenon have been made, the empirical evidence so far is far from unequivocal. It is compatible…
Descriptors: Phrase Structure, Accuracy, Ambiguity (Semantics), Sentences
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Han, Hyemin; Dawson, Kelsie J. – Journal of Moral Education, 2022
Although some previous studies have investigated the relationship between moral foundations and moral judgment development, the methods used have not been able to fully explore the relationship. In the present study, we used Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) in order to address the limitations in traditional regression methods that have been used…
Descriptors: Moral Values, Moral Development, Decision Making, Correlation
Merkle, E. C.; Furr, D.; Rabe-Hesketh, S. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Typical Bayesian methods for models with latent variables (or random effects) involve directly sampling the latent variables along with the model parameters. In high-level software code for model definitions (using, e.g., BUGS, JAGS, Stan), the likelihood is therefore specified as conditional on the latent variables. This can lead researchers to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Comparative Analysis, Computer Software, Models
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Shi, Yang; Chi, Min; Barnes, Tiffany; Price, Thomas W. – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2022
Knowledge tracing (KT) models are a popular approach for predicting students' future performance at practice problems using their prior attempts. Though many innovations have been made in KT, most models including the state-of-the-art Deep KT (DKT) mainly leverage each student's response either as correct or incorrect, ignoring its content. In…
Descriptors: Programming, Knowledge Level, Prediction, Instructional Innovation
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Gervet, Theophile; Koedinger, Ken; Schneider, Jeff; Mitchell, Tom – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2020
Intelligent tutoring systems (ITSs) teach skills using learning-by-doing principles and provide learners with individualized feedback and materials adapted to their level of understanding. Given a learner's history of past interactions with an ITS, a learner performance model estimates the current state of a learner's knowledge and predicts her…
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Feedback (Response), Knowledge Level
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Nahar, Khaledun; Shova, Boishakhe Islam; Ria, Tahmina; Rashid, Humayara Binte; Islam, A. H. M. Saiful – Education and Information Technologies, 2021
Information is everywhere in a hidden and scattered way. It becomes useful when we apply Data mining to extracts the hidden, meaningful, and potentially useful patterns from these vast data resources. Educational data mining ensures a quality education by analyzing educational data based on various aspects. In this paper, we have analyzed the…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, College Students, Engineering Education, Data Collection
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Ossewaarde, Roelant; Jonkers, Roel; Jalvingh, Fedor; Bastiaanse, Roelien – Journal of Speech, Language, and Hearing Research, 2020
Purpose: Corpus analyses of spontaneous language fragments of varying length provide useful insights in the language change caused by brain damage, such as caused by some forms of dementia. Sample size is an important experimental parameter to consider when designing spontaneous language analyses studies. Sample length influences the confidence…
Descriptors: Speech Communication, Dementia, Computational Linguistics, Neurological Impairments
Siebrase, Benjamin – ProQuest LLC, 2018
Multilayer perceptron neural networks, Gaussian naive Bayes, and logistic regression classifiers were compared when used to make early predictions regarding one-year college student persistence. Two iterations of each model were built, utilizing a grid search process within 10-fold cross-validation in order to tune model parameters for optimal…
Descriptors: Classification, College Students, Academic Persistence, Bayesian Statistics
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Whitehill, Jacob; Movellan, Javier – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2018
We propose a method of generating teaching policies for use in intelligent tutoring systems (ITS) for concept learning tasks [1], e.g., teaching students the meanings of words by showing images that exemplify their meanings à la Rosetta Stone [2] and Duo Lingo [3]. The approach is grounded in control theory and capitalizes on recent work by [4],…
Descriptors: Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Second Language Learning, Educational Policy, Comparative Analysis
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Gardner, Josh; Brooks, Christopher – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2018
Model evaluation -- the process of making inferences about the performance of predictive models -- is a critical component of predictive modelling research in learning analytics. We survey the state of the practice with respect to model evaluation in learning analytics, which overwhelmingly uses only naïve methods for model evaluation or…
Descriptors: Prediction, Models, Evaluation, Evaluation Methods
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Evans, William S.; Cavanaugh, Robert; Quique, Yina; Boss, Emily; Starns, Jeffrey J.; Hula, William D. – Journal of Speech, Language, and Hearing Research, 2021
Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop and pilot a novel treatment framework called "BEARS" (Balancing Effort, Accuracy, and Response Speed). People with aphasia (PWA) have been shown to maladaptively balance speed and accuracy during language tasks. BEARS is designed to train PWA to balance speed-accuracy trade-offs and…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Semantics, Aphasia, Reaction Time
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Oh, Hanna; Beck, Jeffrey M.; Zhu, Pingping; Sommer, Marc A.; Ferrari, Silvia; Egner, Tobias – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2016
Much of our real-life decision making is bounded by uncertain information, limitations in cognitive resources, and a lack of time to allocate to the decision process. It is thought that humans overcome these limitations through "satisficing," fast but "good-enough" heuristic decision making that prioritizes some sources of…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Cues, Cognitive Processes, Time
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Nosofsky, Robert M.; Donkin, Chris – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2016
We report an experiment designed to provide a qualitative contrast between knowledge-limited versions of mixed-state and variable-resources (VR) models of visual change detection. The key data pattern is that observers often respond "same" on big-change trials, while simultaneously being able to discriminate between same and small-change…
Descriptors: Short Term Memory, Probability, Models, Prediction
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