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VET Program Completion Rates: An Evaluation of the Current Method. Occasional Paper
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National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER), 2016
This work asks one simple question: "how reliable is the method used by the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) to estimate projected rates of VET program completion?" In other words, how well do early projections align with actual completion rates some years later? Completion rates are simple to calculate with a…
Descriptors: Vocational Education, Graduation Rate, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
Predicting Higher Education Outcomes and Implications for a Postsecondary Institution Ratings System
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Walker, Eddie G., II – Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management, 2016
The accountability of colleges and universities is a high priority for those making policy decisions. The purpose of this study was to determine institutional characteristics predicting retention rates, graduation rates and transfer-out rates using publicly available data from the US Department of Education. Using regression analysis, it was…
Descriptors: Higher Education, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Prediction
The Career Course as a Factor in College Graduation
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Reardon, Robert C.; Melvin, Brittany; McClain, Mary-Catherine; Peterson, Gary W.; Bowman, William J. – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2015
Conducting research and engaging in discussions with administrators and legislators can be important contributions toward alleviating the trend toward lower graduation rates among college students. This study used archival data obtained from the university registrar to examine how engagement in a credit-bearing undergraduate career course related…
Descriptors: Graduation Rate, Student Records, Prediction, Predictive Validity
Predicting Success in Nursing Programs
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Herrera, Cheryl; Blair, Jennifer – Research in Higher Education Journal, 2015
As the U.S. population ages and policy changes emerge, such as the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010, the U.S. will experience a significant shortage of Registered Nurses (RNs). Many colleges and universities are attempting to increase the size of nursing cohorts to respond to this imminent shortage. Notwithstanding a 2.6%…
Descriptors: Prediction, Success, Nursing Education, Nursing Students
Student Success: Approaches to Modeling Student Matriculation and Retention
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Lin, Jien-Jou – ProQuest LLC, 2013
Every year a group of graduates from high schools enter the engineering programs across this country with remarkable academic record. However, as reported in numerous studies, the number of students switching out of engineering majors continues to be an important issue. Previous studies have suggested various factors as predictors for student…
Descriptors: Success, Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
Predicting Computer Science Ph.D. Completion: A Case Study
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Cox, G. W.; Hughes, W. E., Jr.; Etzkorn, L. H.; Weisskopf, M. E. – IEEE Transactions on Education, 2009
This paper presents the results of an analysis of indicators that can be used to predict whether a student will succeed in a Computer Science Ph.D. program. The analysis was conducted by studying the records of 75 students who have been in the Computer Science Ph.D. program of the University of Alabama in Huntsville. Seventy-seven variables were…
Descriptors: Case Studies, Prediction, Computer Science Education, Doctoral Degrees