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Fay, Derek M.; Levy, Roy; Schulte, Ann C. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Longitudinal data structures are frequently encountered in a variety of disciplines in the social and behavioral sciences. Growth curve modeling offers a highly extensible framework that allows for the exploration of rich hypotheses. However, owing to the presence of interrelated sources of potential data-model misfit at multiple levels, the…
Descriptors: Measurement, Models, Bayesian Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling
Bosch, Nigel; Paquette, Luc – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2018
Metrics including Cohen's kappa, precision, recall, and F[subscript 1] are common measures of performance for models of discrete student states, such as a student's affect or behaviour. This study examined discrete model metrics for previously published student model examples to identify situations where metrics provided differing perspectives on…
Descriptors: Models, Comparative Analysis, Prediction, Probability
Culpepper, Steven Andrew – Psychometrika, 2012
The study of prediction bias is important and the last five decades include research studies that examined whether test scores differentially predict academic or employment performance. Previous studies used ordinary least squares (OLS) to assess whether groups differ in intercepts and slopes. This study shows that OLS yields inaccurate inferences…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Prediction, Measurement, Least Squares Statistics