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Mahmoud Abdasalam; Ahmad Alzubi; Kolawole Iyiola – Education and Information Technologies, 2025
This study introduces an optimized ensemble deep neural network (Optimized Ensemble Deep-NN) to enhance the accuracy of predicting student grades. This model solves the problem of different and complicated student performance data by using deep neural networks, ensemble learning, and a number of optimization algorithms, such as Adam, SGD, and RMS…
Descriptors: Grades (Scholastic), Prediction, Accuracy, Artificial Intelligence
Venera Nakhipova; Yerzhan Kerimbekov; Zhanat Umarova; Halil ibrahim Bulbul; Laura Suleimenova; Elvira Adylbekova – International Journal of Information and Communication Technology Education, 2024
This article introduces a novel method that integrates collaborative filtering into the naive Bayes model to enhance predicting student academic performance. The combined approach leverages collaborative user behavior analysis and probabilistic modeling, showing promising results in improved prediction precision. Collaborative Filtering explores…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Prediction, Cooperation, Behavior
Senthil Kumaran, V.; Malar, B. – Interactive Learning Environments, 2023
Churn in e-learning refers to learners who gradually perform less and become lethargic and may potentially drop out from the course. Churn prediction is a highly sensitive and critical task in an e-learning system because inaccurate predictions might cause undesired consequences. A lot of approaches proposed in the literature analyzed and modeled…
Descriptors: Electronic Learning, Dropouts, Accuracy, Classification
Kylie L. Anglin – Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University, 2025
Since 2018, institutions of higher education have been aware of the "enrollment cliff" which refers to expected declines in future enrollment. This paper attempts to describe how prepared institutions in Ohio are for this future by looking at trends leading up to the anticipated decline. Using IPEDS data from 2012-2022, we analyze trends…
Descriptors: Validity, Artificial Intelligence, Models, Best Practices
Andrea Zanellati; Daniele Di Mitri; Maurizio Gabbrielli; Olivia Levrini – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2024
Knowledge tracing is a well-known problem in AI for education, consisting of monitoring how the knowledge state of students changes during the learning process and accurately predicting their performance in future exercises. In recent years, many advances have been made thanks to various machine learning and deep learning techniques. Despite their…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Prior Learning, Knowledge Management, Models
Hayat Sahlaoui; El Arbi Abdellaoui Alaoui; Said Agoujil; Anand Nayyar – Education and Information Technologies, 2024
Predicting student performance using educational data is a significant area of machine learning research. However, class imbalance in datasets and the challenge of developing interpretable models can hinder accuracy. This study compares different variations of the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) combined with classification…
Descriptors: Sampling, Classification, Algorithms, Prediction
Harikesh Singh; Li-Minn Ang; Dipak Paudyal; Mauricio Acuna; Prashant Kumar Srivastava; Sanjeev Kumar Srivastava – Technology, Knowledge and Learning, 2025
Wildfires pose significant environmental threats in Australia, impacting ecosystems, human lives, and property. This review article provides a comprehensive analysis of various empirical and dynamic wildfire simulators alongside machine learning (ML) techniques employed for wildfire prediction in Australia. The study examines the effectiveness of…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Computer Software, Computer Simulation, Prediction

Parian Haghighat; Denisa Gandara; Lulu Kang; Hadis Anahideh – Grantee Submission, 2024
Predictive analytics is widely used in various domains, including education, to inform decision-making and improve outcomes. However, many predictive models are proprietary and inaccessible for evaluation or modification by researchers and practitioners, limiting their accountability and ethical design. Moreover, predictive models are often opaque…
Descriptors: Prediction, Learning Analytics, Multivariate Analysis, Regression (Statistics)
Michael Wade Ashby – ProQuest LLC, 2024
Whether machine learning algorithms effectively predict college students' course outcomes using learning management system data is unknown. Identifying students who will have a poor outcome can help institutions plan future budgets and allocate resources to create interventions for underachieving students. Therefore, knowing the effectiveness of…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Algorithms, Prediction, Learning Management Systems
Ulrike Padó; Yunus Eryilmaz; Larissa Kirschner – International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 2024
Short-Answer Grading (SAG) is a time-consuming task for teachers that automated SAG models have long promised to make easier. However, there are three challenges for their broad-scale adoption: A technical challenge regarding the need for high-quality models, which is exacerbated for languages with fewer resources than English; a usability…
Descriptors: Grading, Automation, Test Format, Computer Assisted Testing
Kylie Anglin – AERA Open, 2024
Given the rapid adoption of machine learning methods by education researchers, and the growing acknowledgment of their inherent risks, there is an urgent need for tailored methodological guidance on how to improve and evaluate the validity of inferences drawn from these methods. Drawing on an integrative literature review and extending a…
Descriptors: Validity, Artificial Intelligence, Models, Best Practices
Schneider, Stefan; Jin, Haomiao; Orriens, Bart; Junghaenel, Doerte U.; Kapteyn, Arie; Meijer, Erik; Stone, Arthur A. – Field Methods, 2023
Researchers have become increasingly interested in response times to survey items as a measure of cognitive effort. We used machine learning to develop a prediction model of response times based on 41 attributes of survey items (e.g., question length, response format, linguistic features) collected in a large, general population sample. The…
Descriptors: Surveys, Response Rates (Questionnaires), Test Items, Artificial Intelligence
Smithers, Laura – Learning, Media and Technology, 2023
This article examines the work of predictive analytics in shaping the social worlds in which they thrive, and in particular the world of the first year of Great State University's student success initiative. Specifically, this article investigates the following research paradox: predictive analytics, as driven by a logic premised on predicting the…
Descriptors: Prediction, Learning Analytics, Academic Achievement, College Students
Kye, Anna – ProQuest LLC, 2023
Every year, the national high school graduation rate is declining and impacting the number of students applying to colleges. Moreover, the majority of students are applying to more than one college. This makes a lot of colleges to be highly competitive in student recruitment for enrollment and thus, the necessity for institutions to anticipate…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Classification, College Enrollment, Prediction
Melina Verger; Chunyang Fan; Sébastien Lallé; François Bouchet; Vanda Luengo – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2024
Predictive student models are increasingly used in learning environments due to their ability to enhance educational outcomes and support stakeholders in making informed decisions. However, predictive models can be biased and produce unfair outcomes, leading to potential discrimination against certain individuals and harmful long-term…
Descriptors: Algorithms, Prediction, Bias, Classification