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Briggs, Derek C.; Circi, Ruhan – International Journal of Testing, 2017
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have been proposed as a promising approach for the classification of students into different levels of a psychological attribute hierarchy. Unfortunately, because such classifications typically rely upon internally produced item response patterns that have not been externally validated, the instability of ANN…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Classification, Student Evaluation, Tests
Altmann, Erik M. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2011
This study takes inventory of available evidence on response repetition (RR) effects in task switching, in particular the evidence for RR cost when the task switches. The review reveals that relatively few task-switching studies in which RR effects were addressed have shown statistical support for RR cost, and that almost all are affected by 1 of…
Descriptors: Task Analysis, Evidence, Cues, Cognitive Processes
Simen, Patrick; Contreras, David; Buck, Cara; Hu, Peter; Holmes, Philip; Cohen, Jonathan D. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 2009
The drift-diffusion model (DDM) implements an optimal decision procedure for stationary, 2-alternative forced-choice tasks. The height of a decision threshold applied to accumulating information on each trial determines a speed-accuracy tradeoff (SAT) for the DDM, thereby accounting for a ubiquitous feature of human performance in speeded response…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Models, Reaction Time, Rewards
Lench, Heather C. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2009
People generally judge that the future will be consistent with their desires, but the reason for this desirability bias is unclear. This investigation examined whether affective reactions associated with future events are the mechanism through which desires influence likelihood judgments. In 4 studies, affective reactions were manipulated for…
Descriptors: Bias, Risk, Relationship, Evaluative Thinking
Chandler, Steve – Journal of Psycholinguistic Research, 2008
Skousen's (1989, Analogical modeling of language, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht) Analogical Model (AM) predicts behavior such as spelling pronunciation by comparing the characteristics of a test item (a given input word) to those of individual exemplars in a data set of previously encountered items. While AM and other exemplar-based models…
Descriptors: Test Items, Reaction Time, Psycholinguistics, Probability
Humphries, Joanna M.; Stabler, John R. – J Genet Psychol, 1969
Based on a PhD dissertation (Humphries) submitted to the Louisiana State University.
Descriptors: Children, Learning Motivation, Prediction, Probability

Geller, E. Scott; Whitman, Charles P. – American Journal of Psychology, 1972
Unlike previous studies, the present experiments simultaneously differentiated the stimulus events along more than one (binary) dimension. (Authors)
Descriptors: Learning, Prediction, Probability, Responses
Cotton, John W. – 1970
The behavior of focus samples central to the multiple-look model of Trabasso and Bower is examined by three methods. First, exact probabilities of success conditional upon a certain brief history of stimulation are determined. Second, possible states of the organism during the experiment are defined and a transition matrix for those states…
Descriptors: Mathematical Applications, Mathematical Models, Mathematics, Prediction
Haberman, Shelby J. – ETS Research Report Series, 2004
Criteria for prediction of multinomial responses are examined in terms of estimation bias. Logarithmic penalty and least squares are quite similar in behavior but quite different from maximum probability. The differences ultimately reflect deficiencies in the behavior of the criterion of maximum probability.
Descriptors: Probability, Prediction, Classification, Computation

Myers, Nancy Angrist – Developmental Psychology, 1972
A study of probability learning using a noncontingent binary prediction situation to evaluate the effect of pretraining reinforcement schedule. (author/MB)
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Elementary School Students, Expectation, Learning

Deffenbacher, Kenneth; Hamm, Norman H. – Developmental Psychology, 1972
Descriptors: Concept Formation, Cues, Data Analysis, Developmental Psychology

Bower, Gordon H. – Psychological Review, 1994
The article by W. K. Estes marks a turning point in the mathematical learning theory movement. The central constructs were stimulus variability, stimulus sampling, and stimulus response association by contiguity, in a framework enabling prediction of response probability and latency. (SLD)
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Learning Theories, Mathematics, Mathematics Tests
Hinrichs, James V. – 1976
This paper briefly reviews how subjects enhance performance by favoring some stimuli over others. The author calls the mechanism by which this is achieved "expectancy", a generic term including preparatory set, behavioral hypotheses, orienting reflex, and anticipatory goal responses. Temporal and event expectancy are contrasted. Verbal prediction…
Descriptors: Behavioral Science Research, Cognitive Processes, Decision Making, Expectation