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Rippey, Robert M. – J Educ Meas, 1970
Descriptors: Multiple Choice Tests, Prediction, Probability, Scoring
Aims, Doug – 1971
A Markov model for predicting performance on criterion-referenced tests is presented,. The model is expressed mathematically as a function of transition matrix, a current state vector, and a future state vector. The matrix is defined in terms of conditional probabilities, i.e., the probability of making a transition to a specific future…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Criterion Referenced Tests, Decision Making, Mastery Tests