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Paterson, Kevin; Guerrero, Adam – Research in Higher Education Journal, 2023
Data from a moderately-selective state university in the Midwest is used to cross-examine the most appropriate data analytical techniques for predicting versus explaining college student persistence decisions. The current research provides an overview of the relative benefits of models specializing in prediction versus explanation with particular…
Descriptors: Prediction, Data Analysis, College Students, School Holding Power
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Dignum, Frank – International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 2023
The general feeling is that no predictions can be made based on agent-based social simulations. The outcomes of social simulations are based on the behaviors of individuals and their interactions. Behavioral models are always incomplete and often, also incorrect with respect to real behavior and thus the outcomes of agent-based social simulations…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Validity, Educational Policy, Policy Formation
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Bastianello, Tamara; Brondino, Margherita; Persici, Valentina; Majorano, Marinella – Journal of Research in Childhood Education, 2023
The present contribution aims at presenting an assessment tool (i.e., the TALK-assessment) built to evaluate the language development and school readiness of Italian preschoolers before they enter primary school, and its predictive validity for the children's reading and writing skills at the end of the first year of primary school. The early…
Descriptors: Literacy, Computer Assisted Testing, Italian, Language Acquisition
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Yu, Renzhe; Li, Qiujie; Fischer, Christian; Doroudi, Shayan; Xu, Di – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2020
In higher education, predictive analytics can provide actionable insights to diverse stakeholders such as administrators, instructors, and students. Separate feature sets are typically used for different prediction tasks, e.g., student activity logs for predicting in-course performance and registrar data for predicting long-term college success.…
Descriptors: Prediction, Accuracy, College Students, Success
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Ling, Jiying; Robbins, Lorraine B. – Journal of School Nursing, 2017
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the psychometric properties of a Perceived Benefits Scale, a Perceived Barriers Scale, and a Physical Activity Enjoyment Scale with data from a group randomized controlled trial (RCT) and a test-retest study with 1-week interval. In the group RCT at baseline and Week 17, 1,012 fifth- to eighth-grade girls…
Descriptors: Psychometrics, Females, Physical Activity Level, Randomized Controlled Trials
National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER), 2016
This work asks one simple question: "how reliable is the method used by the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) to estimate projected rates of VET program completion?" In other words, how well do early projections align with actual completion rates some years later? Completion rates are simple to calculate with a…
Descriptors: Vocational Education, Graduation Rate, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
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Truckenmiller, Adrea J.; Petscher, Yaacov; Gaughan, Linda; Dwyer, Ted – Regional Educational Laboratory Southeast, 2016
District and state education leaders frequently use screening assessments to identify students who are at risk of performing poorly on end-of-year achievement tests. This study examines the use of a universal screening assessment of reading skills for early identification of students at risk of low achievement on nationally normed tests of reading…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables, Mathematics Achievement
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Olive, David Monllao; Huynh, Du Q.; Reynolds, Mark; Dougiamas, Martin; Wiese, Damyon – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2019
A significant amount of research effort has been put into finding variables that can identify students at risk based on activity records available in learning management systems (LMS). These variables often depend on the context, for example, the course structure, how the activities are assessed or whether the course is entirely online or a…
Descriptors: Prediction, Identification, At Risk Students, Online Courses
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Alexander, Patricia A.; Dumas, Denis; Grossnickle, Emily M.; List, Alexandra; Firetto, Carla M. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2016
Relational reasoning is the foundational cognitive ability to discern meaningful patterns within an informational stream, but its reliable and valid measurement remains problematic. In this investigation, the measurement of relational reasoning unfolded in three stages. Stage 1 entailed the establishment of a research-based conceptualization of…
Descriptors: Cognitive Ability, Logical Thinking, Thinking Skills, Cognitive Processes
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Lamm, Kevan W.; Sheikh, Emana; Carter, Hannah S.; Lamm, Alexa J. – Journal of Leadership Education, 2017
Finding strategies to increase the motivation of students, their connection with the material, and retention of the content, has been very important within leadership education. Previous research studies have shown that personality traits can predict desired outcomes, including goal orientation or motivational disposition. However, there have not…
Descriptors: Undergraduate Students, Goal Orientation, Predictive Validity, Prediction
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Kontas, Hakki; Özpolat, Esen Turan – International Journal of Evaluation and Research in Education, 2017
The purpose of this study was to investigate exam scores' predicting Transition from Primary to Secondary Education (TEOG) exam scores. The research data were obtained from the records of 1035 students studying at the first term of eighth grade in 2015-2016 academic year in e-school system. The research was on relational screening model. Linear…
Descriptors: Scores, Prediction, Predictive Validity, School Readiness
Shaw, Emily J.; Marini, Jessica P.; Beard, Jonathan; Shmueli, Doron; Young, Linda; Ng, Helen – College Board, 2016
In February of 2013, the College Board announced it would undertake a redesign of the SAT® in order to develop an assessment that better reflects the work that students will do in college, focusing on the core knowledge and skills that evidence has shown to be critical in preparation for college and career. The redesigned test will be introduced…
Descriptors: College Entrance Examinations, Test Construction, College Readiness, College Admission
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Gellert, Anna S.; Elbro, Carsten – Journal of Learning Disabilities, 2017
A few studies have indicated that dynamic measures of phonological awareness may contribute uniquely to the prediction of early reading development. However, standard control measures have been few and limited by floor effects, thus limiting their predictive value. The purpose of the present study was to examine the predictive value of a dynamic…
Descriptors: Reading Difficulties, Early Reading, Phonological Awareness, Longitudinal Studies
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Hawthorne, Katrice A.; Bol, Linda; Pribesh, Shana – Journal of Experimental Education, 2017
Rubric-referenced calibration and the interaction between writing achievement and calibration, a measure of the relationship between one's performance and the accuracy of one's judgments, were investigated. Undergraduate students (N = 596) were assigned to one of three calibration conditions: (a) global, (b) global and general criteria, or (c)…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Writing Exercises, Task Analysis, Scoring Rubrics
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Ramanarayanan, Vikram; Lange, Patrick; Evanini, Keelan; Molloy, Hillary; Tsuprun, Eugene; Qian, Yao; Suendermann-Oeft, David – ETS Research Report Series, 2017
Predicting and analyzing multimodal dialog user experience (UX) metrics, such as overall call experience, caller engagement, and latency, among other metrics, in an ongoing manner is important for evaluating such systems. We investigate automated prediction of multiple such metrics collected from crowdsourced interactions with an open-source,…
Descriptors: Automation, Prediction, Man Machine Systems, Open Source Technology
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