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Direct linkFernbach, Philip M.; Erb, Christopher D. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2013
The authors propose and test a causal model theory of reasoning about conditional arguments with causal content. According to the theory, the acceptability of modus ponens (MP) and affirming the consequent (AC) reflect the conditional likelihood of causes and effects based on a probabilistic causal model of the scenario being judged. Acceptability…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Logical Thinking, Statistical Analysis, Validity
