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Lortie-Forgues, Hugues; Inglis, Matthew – Educational Researcher, 2019
In this response, we first show that Simpson's proposed analysis answers a different and less interesting question than ours. We then justify the choice of prior for our Bayes factors calculations, but we also demonstrate that the substantive conclusions of our article are not substantially affected by varying this choice.
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Program Evaluation
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Simpson, Adrian – Educational Researcher, 2019
A recent paper uses Bayes factors to argue a large minority of rigorous, large-scale education RCTs are "uninformative." The definition of "uninformative" depends on the authors' hypothesis choices for calculating Bayes factors. These arguably overadjust for effect size inflation and involve a fixed prior distribution,…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Program Evaluation
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Finucane, Mariel McKenzie; Martinez, Ignacio; Cody, Scott – American Journal of Evaluation, 2018
In the coming years, public programs will capture even more and richer data than they do now, including data from web-based tools used by participants in employment services, from tablet-based educational curricula, and from electronic health records for Medicaid beneficiaries. Program evaluators seeking to take full advantage of these data…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Data Analysis, Program Evaluation, Randomized Controlled Trials