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Ethan R. Van Norman; Emily R. Forcht – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2024
This study evaluated the forecasting accuracy of trend estimation methods applied to time-series data from computer adaptive tests (CATs). Data were collected roughly once a month over the course of a school year. We evaluated the forecasting accuracy of two regression-based growth estimation methods (ordinary least squares and Theil-Sen). The…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables
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Baird, Matthew D.; Pane, John F. – Educational Researcher, 2019
Evaluators report effects of education initiatives as standardized effect sizes, a scale that has merits but obscures interpretation of the effects' practical importance. Consequently, educators and policymakers seek more readily interpretable translations of evaluation results. One popular metric is the number of years of learning necessary to…
Descriptors: Outcomes of Education, Program Evaluation, Educational Policy, Evaluators