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Jason Schoeneberger; Christopher Rhoads – Grantee Submission, 2024
Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are increasingly used for causal evaluations. For example, if a student's need for a literacy intervention is determined by a low score on a past performance indicator and that intervention is provided to all students who fall below a cutoff on that indicator, an RD study can determine the intervention's main…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Causal Models, Evaluation Methods, Multivariate Analysis
Sy Han Chiou; Gongjun Xu; Jun Yan; Chiung-Yu Huang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Recurrent event analyses have found a wide range of applications in biomedicine, public health, and engineering, among others, where study subjects may experience a sequence of event of interest during follow-up. The R package reReg offers a comprehensive collection of practical and easy-to-use tools for regression analysis of recurrent events,…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Computer Software, Regression (Statistics), Models
David Bruns-Smith; Oliver Dukes; Avi Feller; Elizabeth L. Ogburn – Grantee Submission, 2024
We provide a novel characterization of augmented balancing weights, also known as automatic debiased machine learning (AutoDML). These popular "doubly robust" or "de-biased machine learning estimators" combine outcome modeling with balancing weights -- weights that achieve covariate balance directly in lieu of estimating and…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Weighted Scores, Data Analysis, Robustness (Statistics)

Parian Haghighat; Denisa Gandara; Lulu Kang; Hadis Anahideh – Grantee Submission, 2024
Predictive analytics is widely used in various domains, including education, to inform decision-making and improve outcomes. However, many predictive models are proprietary and inaccessible for evaluation or modification by researchers and practitioners, limiting their accountability and ethical design. Moreover, predictive models are often opaque…
Descriptors: Prediction, Learning Analytics, Multivariate Analysis, Regression (Statistics)
Brian T. Keller; Craig K. Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
A growing body of literature has focused on missing data methods that factorize the joint distribution into a part representing the analysis model of interest and a part representing the distributions of the incomplete predictors. Relatively little is known about the utility of this method for multilevel models with interactive effects. This study…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Monte Carlo Methods, Bias
Philip I. Pavlik; Luke G. Eglington – Grantee Submission, 2023
This paper presents a tool for creating student models in logistic regression. Creating student models has typically been done by expert selection of the appropriate terms, beginning with models as simple as IRT or AFM but more recently with highly complex models like BestLR. While alternative methods exist to select the appropriate predictors for…
Descriptors: Students, Models, Regression (Statistics), Alternative Assessment
Luke W. Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2022
We are sometimes forced to use the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design as an identification strategy for potential policy change, such as when we only have a single treated unit and cannot obtain comparable controls. For example, with recent county- and state-wide criminal justice reform efforts, where judicial bodies have changed bail setting…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Case Studies, Quasiexperimental Design, Monte Carlo Methods
Yuxiang Gao; Lauren Kennedy; Daniel Simpson; Andrew Gelman – Grantee Submission, 2021
A central theme in the field of survey statistics is estimating population-level quantities through data coming from potentially non-representative samples of the population. Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), a model-based approach, is gaining traction against the traditional weighted approach for survey estimates. MRP estimates…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Statistical Analysis, Surveys, Computation
Kenneth Tyler Wilcox; Ross Jacobucci; Zhiyong Zhang; Brooke A. Ammerman – Grantee Submission, 2023
Text is a burgeoning data source for psychological researchers, but little methodological research has focused on adapting popular modeling approaches for text to the context of psychological research. One popular measurement model for text, topic modeling, uses a latent mixture model to represent topics underlying a body of documents. Recently,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Content Analysis, Undergraduate Students, Self Destructive Behavior
Jennifer Hill; George Perrett; Vincent Dorie – Grantee Submission, 2023
Estimation of causal effects requires making comparisons across groups of observations exposed and not exposed to a a treatment or cause (intervention, program, drug, etc). To interpret differences between groups causally we need to ensure that they have been constructed in such a way that the comparisons are "fair." This can be…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
Vincent Dorie; George Perrett; Jennifer L. Hill; Benjamin Goodrich – Grantee Submission, 2022
A wide range of machine-learning-based approaches have been developed in the past decade, increasing our ability to accurately model nonlinear and nonadditive response surfaces. This has improved performance for inferential tasks such as estimating average treatment effects in situations where standard parametric models may not fit the data well.…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Causal Models, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
Ke-Hai Yuan; Yongfei Fang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Observational data typically contain measurement errors. Covariance-based structural equation modelling (CB-SEM) is capable of modelling measurement errors and yields consistent parameter estimates. In contrast, methods of regression analysis using weighted composites as well as a partial least squares approach to SEM facilitate the prediction and…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Regression (Statistics), Weighted Scores, Comparative Analysis
Alexandra M. Pierce; Lisa M. H. Sanetti; Melissa A. Collier-Meek; Austin H. Johnson – Grantee Submission, 2024
Implementation planning is a consultative educator support strategy with preliminary evidence of effectiveness from single-case design research. This meta-analysis investigates the impacts of implementation planning on educator implementation and student outcomes and explores moderators of these relationships. Principles of open science and…
Descriptors: Program Implementation, Educational Planning, Coping, Fidelity
Pavlik, Philip I., Jr.; Zhang, Liang – Grantee Submission, 2022
A longstanding goal of learner modeling and educational data mining is to improve the domain model of knowledge that is used to make inferences about learning and performance. In this report we present a tool for finding domain models that is built into an existing modeling framework, logistic knowledge tracing (LKT). LKT allows the flexible…
Descriptors: Models, Regression (Statistics), Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Learning Processes
Wolfgang Weidermann; Keith C. Herman; Wendy Reinke; Alexander von Eye – Grantee Submission, 2022
Although variable-oriented analyses are dominant in developmental psychopathology, researchers have championed a person-oriented approach that focuses on the individual as a totality. This view has methodological implications and various person-oriented methods have been developed to test person-oriented hypotheses. Configural frequency analysis…
Descriptors: Student Behavior, Behavior Patterns, Monte Carlo Methods, Statistical Analysis