The projection of enrollment changes is vital to the planning of educational facilities. However, existing methods of projecting urban populations fall short of acceptable performance because they fail to adequately take into account residential mobility. As a starting point for improving these methods, this report develops an accounting model of…

This paper relates frequency of interstate migration and the likelihood of a child's being enrolled in school at the modal grade for age, controlling for socioeconomic status of the family. The 1970 Census of Population obtained information on school enrollment and current grade, state of birth, residence in 1965, and residence in 1970. A measure…