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Zimmermann, Judith; Brodersen, Kay H.; Heinimann, Hans R.; Buhmann, Joachim M. – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2015
The graduate admissions process is crucial for controlling the quality of higher education, yet, rules-of-thumb and domain-specific experiences often dominate evidence-based approaches. The goal of the present study is to dissect the predictive power of undergraduate performance indicators and their aggregates. We analyze 81 variables in 171…
Descriptors: Undergraduate Students, Graduate Students, Academic Achievement, Prediction
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Herzog, Stefan M.; Hertwig, Ralph – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Individuals can partly recreate the "wisdom of crowds" within their own minds by combining nonredundant estimates they themselves have generated. Herzog and Hertwig (2009) showed that this accuracy gain could be boosted by urging people to actively think differently when generating a 2nd estimate ("dialectical bootstrapping").…
Descriptors: Sampling, Statistical Inference, Experimental Psychology, Hypothesis Testing