We introduce the concept of "differential prediction generalization" in the context of college admissions testing. Specifically, we assess the extent to which predicted first-year college grade point average (GPA) based on high-school grade point average (HSGPA) and SAT scores depends on a student's ethnicity and gender and whether this…

This brief examines high school counselor staffing counts relative to four-year college enrollment rates. Recent evidence from a national survey of counselors provides support for claims by counselors and school administrators that current counselor staffing levels are suboptimal. An additional high school counselor is predicted to induce a 10…

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop and cross-validate an equation based on ActiGraph accelerometer GT3X output to predict children and youth's energy expenditure (EE) of physical activity (PA). Method: Participants were 367 Chinese children and youth (179 boys and 188 girls, aged 9 to 17 years old) who wore 1 ActiGraph GT3X…

The ability of high school grades (grade point average) and SAT® scores to predict cumulative grades in different types of college courses was evaluated in a sample of 26 colleges. Appended are: (1) Sample Sizes, Means, and Standard Deviations for Subgroups Defined by Gender, Race/Ethnicity, and Course Type; and (2) Prediction of Cumulative GPA by…

The Center for Education Statistics (CES) projects that this fall (1988), nearly 100,000 more students will enroll in public elementary and secondary schools than last year. Public school enrollment in grades K-8 is expected to increase 1.6 percent from 28.0 million in 1987 to 28.4 million in 1988. In contrast, public school enrollment in grades…

In this study, two statistical approaches for adjusting grades were tested on data obtained from four law schools, with samples of 157, 188, 206, and 191. These approaches were previously validated using data on undergraduates but have not been used in a study of postgraduate performance. Neither method yielded consistent improvements in the…

This paper describes the development, implementation, and evaluation of an automated system for predicting the acceptability status of candidate reading-comprehension stimuli extracted from a database of journal and magazine articles. The system uses a combination of classification and regression techniques to predict the probability that a given…

The multiplicity of variables describing the financial conditions of postsecondary institutions makes it difficult to assess changes in higher education finance from year to year and to find the relationship between these finance variables and average faculty salaries. This study sought to determine if a small number of factors could be derived to…

The Center for Education Statistics (CES) forecasts that current expenditures in public elementary and secondary schools will increase 3.5 percent from school year 1986-87 to school year 1987-88. Current expenditures, which increased 22.6 percent from 1981-82 to 1986-87, are projected to increase 16.4 percent from 1986-87 to 1991-92. One table and…

Projections to 1996-97 concerning Arkansas public high school graduates are examined. The state and county projections were prepared as a basic resource for institutions such as colleges and universities. Various considerations in projecting high school graduates are considered, including use of the Cohort Survival Technique, the importance of…

The validity of prediction equations based on American College Testing (ACT) Program test scores and high school grades is investigated. Presented are separate results for prediction equations based on ACT scores only, on high school grades only, and on both kinds of prediction jointly. Also included is a discussion of the relationship between…

Beginning with institutional data from the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) and demographic data and projections from the Bureau of the Census, total enrollment is projected using expected enrollment rates. Tables show the 1977-88 data, the 1988-89 estimates, and the 1999-2000 projections, along with percent changes between these…

The development of the error prone model (EPM) for the 1984-1985 student financial aid validation criteria for Pell Grant recipient selection is discussed, based on a comparison of the 1983-1984 EPM criteria and a newly estimated EPM. Procedures/assumptions on which the new EPM was based include: a sample of 1982-1983 Pell Grant recipients…

The development of a number of error-prone models to select Pell Grant recipients for validation is discussed. The 1983-1984 Pell Grant validation strategy consists of a two-stage approach: selection using Pre-Established Criteria (PEC) followed by selection using Error Prone Modeling (EPM). The database used for model development consists of a…

The purpose of this study was to investigate the factor structure of a Factors Influencing Pursuit of Higher Education (FIPHE) Questionnaire which addresses factors influencing a person's decision to pursue higher education. Researchers used a literature-based, rational factors approach to develop the questionnaire; the three-part study included a…