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Murphy, Daniel L.; Gaertner, Matthew N. – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2014
This study evaluates four growth prediction models--projection, student growth percentile, trajectory, and transition table--commonly used to forecast (and give schools credit for) middle school students' future proficiency. Analyses focused on vertically scaled summative mathematics assessments, and two performance standards conditions (high…
Descriptors: Prediction, Models, Achievement Gains, Middle School Students