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Yuxiang Gao; Lauren Kennedy; Daniel Simpson; Andrew Gelman – Grantee Submission, 2021
A central theme in the field of survey statistics is estimating population-level quantities through data coming from potentially non-representative samples of the population. Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), a model-based approach, is gaining traction against the traditional weighted approach for survey estimates. MRP estimates…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Statistical Analysis, Surveys, Computation
Lauren Kennedy; Andrew Gelman – Grantee Submission, 2021
Psychology research often focuses on interactions, and this has deep implications for inference from non-representative samples. For the goal of estimating average treatment effects, we propose to fit a model allowing treatment to interact with background variables and then average over the distribution of these variables in the population. This…
Descriptors: Models, Generalization, Psychological Studies, Computation
Andrew Gelman; Daniel Lee; Jiqiang Guo – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2015
Stan is a free and open-source C++ program that performs Bayesian inference or optimization for arbitrary user-specified models and can be called from the command line, R, Python, Matlab, or Julia and has great promise for fitting large and complex statistical models in many areas of application. We discuss Stan from users' and developers'…
Descriptors: Programming Languages, Bayesian Statistics, Inferences, Monte Carlo Methods