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Andrea Zanellati; Stefano Pio Zingaro; Maurizio Gabbrielli – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2024
Academic dropout remains a significant challenge for education systems, necessitating rigorous analysis and targeted interventions. This study employs machine learning techniques, specifically random forest (RF) and feature tokenizer transformer (FTT), to predict academic attrition. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of over 40 000 students from an…
Descriptors: Dropouts, Dropout Characteristics, Potential Dropouts, Artificial Intelligence
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Manuel Medina-Labrador; Gustavo Rene Garcia-Vargas; Fernando Marroquin-Ciendua – Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education, 2023
The dropout rate is the most significant disadvantage in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOC); most of the time, it exceeds 90%. This research compares the effect of cognitive bias, gamification, monetary compensation, and student characteristics (gender, age, years of education, student geographical location, and interest in the course certificate)…
Descriptors: MOOCs, Dropouts, Bias, Gamification
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Saule Bekova – Higher Education Research and Development, 2025
The decline in doctoral program completion has become one of the main challenges in doctoral education worldwide. As concern about this issue grows, the number of studies examining the topic has also increased. Many of these studies, which aim to identify the factors that contribute to high attrition rates, rely on cross-sectional data and often…
Descriptors: Intention, Doctoral Degrees, Outcomes of Education, Dropouts
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Tanvir, Hasan; Chounta, Irene-Angelica – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2021
The aim of this work is to provide data-driven insights regarding the factors behind dropouts in Higher Education and their impact over time. To this end, we analyzed students' data collected by a Higher Education Institute over the last 11 years and we explored how socio-economic and academic changes may have impacted student dropouts and how…
Descriptors: Dropouts, College Students, Predictor Variables, Socioeconomic Status
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Willoughby, Teena; Dykstra, Victoria W.; Heffer, Taylor; Braccio, Joelle; Shahid, Hamnah – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2023
Despite the importance of obtaining a university degree, retention rates remain a concern for many universities. This longitudinal study provides a multi-domain examination of first-year student characteristics and behaviors that best predict which students graduate. Graduation status was assessed seven years after students entered university.…
Descriptors: Longitudinal Studies, Prediction, Graduation, Dropouts
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Pei, Bo; Xing, Wanli – Journal of Educational Computing Research, 2022
This paper introduces a novel approach to identify at-risk students with a focus on output interpretability through analyzing learning activities at a finer granularity on a weekly basis. Specifically, this approach converts the predicted output from the former weeks into meaningful probabilities to infer the predictions in the current week for…
Descriptors: At Risk Students, Learning Analytics, Information Retrieval, Models
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Carol A. Mullen; Robert J. Nitowski – International Journal of Educational Reform, 2024
Dropout is a global crisis and an affliction in the United States. This study analyzes graduation rates based on prior academic achievement, attendance, and behavior at an urban American high school in Virginia over 4 years to identify who is (not) graduating and why. Using a correlational, nonexperimental design, four cohorts of graduates were…
Descriptors: Dropouts, High School Students, Graduation Rate, Academic Achievement
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Varga, Erika B.; Sátán, Ádám – Hungarian Educational Research Journal, 2021
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the pre-enrollment attributes of first-year students at Computer Science BSc programs of the University of Miskolc, Hungary in order to find those that mostly contribute to failure on the Programming Basics first-semester course and, consequently to dropout. Our aim is to detect at-risk students early,…
Descriptors: Identification, At Risk Students, Computer Science Education, Undergraduate Students
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Merve Bulut; Yaren Bulbul – Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education, 2024
Even though distance education from the home environment has seemed comfortable and economic for students with disability in formal higher education during the pandemic, insufficiency in their academic self-efficacy, satisfaction and an increasing tendency to drop out were observed. This quantitative research is based on development of the scales…
Descriptors: Self Efficacy, Student Characteristics, Student Satisfaction, Dropouts
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Thao-Trang Huynh-Cam; Long-Sheng Chen; Tzu-Chuen Lu – Journal of Applied Research in Higher Education, 2025
Purpose: This study aimed to use enrollment information including demographic, family background and financial status, which can be gathered before the first semester starts, to construct early prediction models (EPMs) and extract crucial factors associated with first-year student dropout probability. Design/methodology/approach: The real-world…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Undergraduate Students, At Risk Students, Dropout Characteristics
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Cannistrà, Marta; Masci, Chiara; Ieva, Francesca; Agasisti, Tommaso; Paganoni, Anna Maria – Studies in Higher Education, 2022
This paper combines a theoretical-based model with a data-driven approach to develop an Early Warning System that detects students who are more likely to dropout. The model uses innovative multilevel statistical and machine learning methods. The paper demonstrates the validity of the approach by applying it to administrative data from a leading…
Descriptors: Dropouts, Potential Dropouts, Dropout Prevention, Dropout Characteristics
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Rafiq, Muhammad Yasir; Azad, Mueen Ud-Din; Rafique, Aamer; Chang, Lu Shi – International Journal of Distance Education Technologies, 2020
Due to the of use of ICTs and ODL, Virtual University (VU) has become one of leading distance learning university in Pakistan. However, the retention rate among online learners found considerably low. The primary objective of this research was to dig out determinants of retention of MS/MPhil students at VU and modeling their retention by…
Descriptors: School Holding Power, Foreign Countries, Distance Education, Graduate Students
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Aldahmashi, Thamir; Algholaiqa, Thekra; Alrajhi, Ziyad; Althunayan, Thamer; Anjum, Irfan; Almuqbil, Bader – Higher Education Studies, 2021
An adequate number of healthcare providers is an essential factor in the prosperity of a population. One challenge faced by universities is student dropout. This case-control study aimed to examine the academic, psychological, medical, social, as well as female-related risk factors at a health-sciences university in Saudi Arabia in the academic…
Descriptors: Dropouts, Health Sciences, College Freshmen, Late Adolescents
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Ayala, Juan Carlos; Manzano, Guadalupe – Higher Education Research and Development, 2018
This study, using a time-lagged design, investigated whether or not a relationship between the dimensions of resilience and engagement, and the academic performance of first-year university students, existed. Moreover, we investigated whether or not the dimensions of resilience and engagement were different in students who dropped out of their…
Descriptors: College Freshmen, Academic Achievement, Resilience (Psychology), Learner Engagement
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Espinoza, Oscar; González, Luis Eduardo; McGinn, Noel; Castillo, Dante – Improving Schools, 2020
Improvement in education has been one of the strategies of the government of Chile to reduce economic inequality. To that end, it recently established a system of Second Opportunity Centers that enroll out-of-school youth who have not completed high school. The system is modeled on so-called alternative schools operating in Europe and the United…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Predictor Variables, Dropouts, At Risk Students
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