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Andrea Zanellati; Stefano Pio Zingaro; Maurizio Gabbrielli – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2024
Academic dropout remains a significant challenge for education systems, necessitating rigorous analysis and targeted interventions. This study employs machine learning techniques, specifically random forest (RF) and feature tokenizer transformer (FTT), to predict academic attrition. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of over 40 000 students from an…
Descriptors: Dropouts, Dropout Characteristics, Potential Dropouts, Artificial Intelligence
Andrea M. Connolly – ProQuest LLC, 2022
Given the rapid growth of K-12 online learning, research is needed in the effective identification of at-risk students so that administrators and teachers can develop appropriate supports and interventions. The purpose of this research was to determine if student success in an online course could be predicted for English Learners (EL) using…
Descriptors: Prediction, Academic Achievement, Virtual Schools, Elementary Secondary Education
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Siu-Cheung Kong; Wei Shen – Interactive Learning Environments, 2024
Logistic regression models have traditionally been used to identify the factors contributing to students' conceptual understanding. With the advancement of the machine learning-based research approach, there are reports that some machine learning algorithms outperform logistic regression models in terms of prediction. In this study, we collected…
Descriptors: Student Characteristics, Predictor Variables, Comprehension, Computation
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Ritchie, Stuart – Education Next, 2023
School shootings are at an all-time high. That's according to the National Center for Education Statistics, which has been keeping track of the numbers for about 20 years. What are schools to do? Is there a "profile" of the typical school shooter that could help us identify those who might commit a shooting in the future? Is there some…
Descriptors: Violence, Weapons, Prediction, Student Characteristics
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Willoughby, Teena; Dykstra, Victoria W.; Heffer, Taylor; Braccio, Joelle; Shahid, Hamnah – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2023
Despite the importance of obtaining a university degree, retention rates remain a concern for many universities. This longitudinal study provides a multi-domain examination of first-year student characteristics and behaviors that best predict which students graduate. Graduation status was assessed seven years after students entered university.…
Descriptors: Longitudinal Studies, Prediction, Graduation, Dropouts
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Pei, Bo; Xing, Wanli – Journal of Educational Computing Research, 2022
This paper introduces a novel approach to identify at-risk students with a focus on output interpretability through analyzing learning activities at a finer granularity on a weekly basis. Specifically, this approach converts the predicted output from the former weeks into meaningful probabilities to infer the predictions in the current week for…
Descriptors: At Risk Students, Learning Analytics, Information Retrieval, Models
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Cui, Ying; Chen, Fu; Shiri, Ali – Information and Learning Sciences, 2020
Purpose: This study aims to investigate the feasibility of developing general predictive models for using the learning management system (LMS) data to predict student performances in various courses. The authors focused on examining three practical but important questions: are there a common set of student activity variables that predict student…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Identification, At Risk Students, Prediction
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Arikan, Gökhan – International Education Studies, 2021
This study aims to determine the levels of teacher and trainer candidates in the university education process, in line with the findings obtained in the dimensions of professional anxiety and self-efficacy and their sub-dimensions as a result of examining the professional anxiety and self-efficacy perceptions of teacher and trainer candidates. In…
Descriptors: Prediction, Self Efficacy, Anxiety, Preservice Teachers
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Cynthia J. Murphy; Siffat A. Sharmin; Hsien-Yuan Hsu – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2024
Although studies have investigated educational attainment of groups of students professing low and high educational self-expectations, groups of noncommittal students, rather than being studied as a discrete group, have been treated as missing and ignored. This study investigated the differences between students of noncommittal, low, and high…
Descriptors: Grade 10, Educational Attainment, Hispanic American Students, African American Students
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Immekus, Jason C.; Jeong, Tai-sun; Yoo, Jin Eun – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2022
Large-scale international studies offer researchers a rich source of data to examine the relationship among variables. Machine learning embodies a range of flexible statistical procedures to identify key indicators of a response variable among a collection of hundreds or even thousands of potential predictor variables. Among these, penalized…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Secondary School Students, Artificial Intelligence, Educational Technology
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Khosravi, Hassan; Shabaninejad, Shiva; Bakharia, Aneesha; Sadiq, Shazia; Indulska, Marta; Gasevic, Dragan – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2021
Learning analytics dashboards commonly visualize data about students with the aim of helping students and educators understand and make informed decisions about the learning process. To assist with making sense of complex and multidimensional data, many learning analytics systems and dashboards have relied strongly on AI algorithms based on…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Visual Aids, Artificial Intelligence, Information Retrieval
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Barros, Thiago M.; Souza Neto, Plácido A.; Silva, Ivanovitch; Guedes, Luiz Affonso – Education Sciences, 2019
Predicting school dropout rates is an important issue for the smooth execution of an educational system. This problem is solved by classifying students into two classes using educational activities related statistical datasets. One of the classes must identify the students who have the tendency to persist. The other class must identify the…
Descriptors: Predictor Variables, Models, Dropout Rate, Classification
Beard, Jonathan; Marini, Jessica – College Board, 2018
The continued accumulation of validity evidence for the intended uses of educational assessment scores is critical to ensuring that inferences made using the scores are sound. To that end, the College Board has continued to collect college outcome data to evaluate the relationship between SAT® scores and college success. This report provides…
Descriptors: College Entrance Examinations, Grade Point Average, College Freshmen, Institutional Characteristics
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Lamm, Kevan W.; Sheikh, Emana; Carter, Hannah S.; Lamm, Alexa J. – Journal of Leadership Education, 2017
Finding strategies to increase the motivation of students, their connection with the material, and retention of the content, has been very important within leadership education. Previous research studies have shown that personality traits can predict desired outcomes, including goal orientation or motivational disposition. However, there have not…
Descriptors: Undergraduate Students, Goal Orientation, Predictive Validity, Prediction
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Adelman, Melissa; Haimovich, Francisco; Ham, Andres; Vazquez, Emmanuel – Education Economics, 2018
School dropout is a growing concern across Latin America because of its negative social and economic consequences. Identifying who is likely to drop out, and therefore could be targeted for interventions, is a well-studied prediction problem in countries with strong administrative data. In this paper, we use new data in Guatemala and Honduras to…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Dropouts, At Risk Students, Identification
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