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Direct linkHansson, Patrik; Juslin, Peter; Winman, Anders – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2008
Research with general knowledge items demonstrates extreme overconfidence when people estimate confidence intervals for unknown quantities, but close to zero overconfidence when the same intervals are assessed by probability judgment. In 3 experiments, the authors investigated if the overconfidence specific to confidence intervals derives from…
Descriptors: Intervals, Short Term Memory, Probability, Role
