On the basis of the statistical concept of waiting time and on computer simulations of the "probabilities of nonoccurrence" (p. 457) for random sequences, Hahn and Warren (2009) proposed that given people's experience of a finite data stream from the environment, the gambler's fallacy is not as gross an error as it might seem. We deal with two…

This article presents a model of long term forgetting based on 3 ideas: (a) Memory for a stimulus can be described by a population of accessible traces; (b) probability of retrieval after a delay is predicted by the proportion of traces in this population that will be defined as correct if sampled; and (c) this population is diluted over time by…

Cultural evolutionary theory is an interdisciplinary field in which human culture is viewed as a Darwinian process of variation, competition, and inheritance, and the tools, methods, and theories developed by evolutionary biologists to study genetic evolution are adapted to study cultural change. It is argued here that an integration of the…

P. B. Sederberg, M. W. Howard, and M. J. Kahana have proposed an updated version of the temporal-context model (TCM-A). In doing so, they accepted the challenge of developing a single-store model to account for the dissociations between short- and long-term recency effects that were reviewed by E. J. Davelaar, Y. Goshen-Gottstein, A. Ashkenazi, H.…

How do people select among different strategies to accomplish a given task? Across disciplines, the strategy selection problem represents a major challenge. We propose a quantitative model that predicts how selection emerges through the interplay among strategies, cognitive capacities, and the environment. This interplay carves out for each…

The authors present a new model of free recall on the basis of M. W. Howard and M. J. Kahana's temporal context model and M. Usher and J. L. McClelland's leaky-accumulator decision model. In this model, contextual drift gives rise to both short-term and long-term recency effects, and contextual retrieval gives rise to short-term and long-term…

Space does not allow us to make detailed rebuttals to Davelaar, Usher, Haarmann, and Goshen-Gottstein's criticisms of the temporal context model's (TCM-A's) ability to account for dissociations between immediate and delayed recall nor to explain how TCM could account for list discrimination experiments. We agree that future work is needed to reach…

Three hypotheses of forgetting from immediate memory were tested: time-based decay, decreasing temporal distinctiveness, and interference. The hypotheses were represented by 3 models of serial recall: the primacy model, the SIMPLE (scale-independent memory, perception, and learning) model, and the SOB (serial order in a box) model, respectively.…

Proposes a theory of attentional dynamics and aims at explaining how listeners respond to systematic change in everyday events while retaining a general sense of their rhythmic structure. A mathematical formulation of the theory describes internal oscillations, called attending rhythms, that focus on pulses of attending energy and interact in…

A theoretical frame of rhythm in skilled performance phenomena is presented, arguing that a motor system can produce movements that realize given time scales. Skilled movement is teleological; its timing is an internal schedule of target motor events arranged by the motor system for economy and expressiveness. (Author/CM)

Results from 2 studies involving 52 and 57 adults, respectively, suggest that, when an intertemporal trade-off is embedded in 2 alternative sequences of outcomes, the psychological perspective (frame) shifts and individuals become more farsighted, often wishing to postpone the better outcome to the end. Implications for studying intertemporal…

Presents a model that borrows concepts of economic utility theory to describe the effects on behavior of a contingency among responses. If subjects allocate their time among responses to maximize the value of their behavior, contingency may be seen to restrict the set of available allocations. Describes the allocation of time to contingent,…

The medial temporal lobe (MTL) has been studied extensively at all levels of analysis, yet its function remains unclear. Theory regarding the cognitive function of the MTL has centered along 3 themes. Different authors have emphasized the role of the MTL in episodic recall, spatial navigation, or relational memory. Starting with the temporal…