Achieving enrollment goals continues to be a major administrative concern in higher education. Enrollment management can be assisted through the use of computerized planning and forecast models. Although commercially available Markov transition type curve fitting models have been developed and used, a microcomputer-based decision planning model…

The model described in this report is a computer program capable of projecting population, enrollment, teacher supply (within six age classifications); and expenditures and revenues for 10 years for each intermediate unit, the State, and four residence classifications: metropolitan-center city, metropolitan-other, suburban or small community, and…

The development of a predictive equation capable of explaining a significant percentage of enrollment variability at Florida International University is described. A model utilizing trend analysis and a multiple regression approach to enrollment forecasting was adapted to investigate enrollment dynamics at the university. Four independent…

A data-collection model is presented for the gathering of timely information on population demographic characteristics, as well as economic, educational, environmental, and social trends. First, the paper discusses the importance of anticipating internal and external changes and establishing priorities for resource allocation in the design of a…

A comprehensive, field-disaggregated analysis of the academic labor market is presented using data from the National Center for Education Statistics for first-year graduate enrollment and higher degrees awarded in distinct fields. The fixed-coefficient model of Cartter (1975) is enlarged and disaggregated into a model of the supply of master's as…

Because the enrollment question is central to the resolution of a number of issues facing higher education, institutions as well as jurisdictional bodies have become increasingly concerned with the determination of future student demand. However, the changing characteristics of our population indicate the need for a new and somewhat more complex…

This paper examines the changing demographics of American society and the impact of these changes on higher education. Discussions include a historical background of early American demography, the building and expansion of the population base, and census changes through various generations of the baby boom years and beyond. Next, the report…

The rising cost of public education and the resulting pressures for higher local property tax rates have caused the financial management of public schools to come under increased scrutiny. This study applies planning programing budgeting systems (PPBS) to school district financial management. A program structure is described that relates all…

This edition is the 23rd report in a series begun in 1964. It includes projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, and expenditures to the year 2004. Projections reflect the 1990 Census, with the incorporation of 1992 estimates and assumptions for fertility rate, net immigration, and mortality rate. The report also contains a…

A description of the University of Southern California (USC) faculty model and some of the results obtained from using the model are presented. The model traces faculty cohorts from 1974 to 1984, under given policies of hiring, tenure, promotion, and retirement. The model takes into account resignations, deaths, anticipated enrollments, and costs.…

The findings of a computer model designed to project the number and educational profile of young people leaving the school system to enter the labor force in Canada in the 1980's are reported. The four-tiered computer model utilized in the study projects elementary-secondary enrollment, college and university enrollment, "leavers" from…

The effect of enrollment level changes on the long-range future of Western Washington University are investigated. Due to the high rate of Washington state in-migration, declining enrollments are not projected for Western Washington University. The impact of managed enrollment goals was examined to help the university determine the most…