In April, AIP Statistical Research projected a decline of about 13% among first-year graduate students in physics and astronomy. At that time, chairpersons felt that restrictions on federal grant funding would be a major factor in the decline. Over the summer, the Trump administration paused new student visa interviews in May, resulting in lengthy application backlogs. This could further inhibit the number of graduate students enrolling in US programs. AIP Statistical Research now has preliminary data from their annual survey of physics departments, allowing an examination of that projection, which points to a significant decline in first-year graduate enrollments in physics programs.