An analytical framework is described through which voluntary attrition can be predicted. The approach incorporates Marshallian Utility Theory and a Maximum Likelihood Estimation procedure to evaluate a specific individual's propensity to attrit. The approach was tested twice at the United States Air Force Academy where it was able to correctly…

The Simulation Option Model (SOM) was developed as part of the Centre for Educational Research and Innovation work on educational planning. Its two main purposes are to be an analytical tool for the project on Educational Growth and Educational Opportunity and to be a direct contribution to member countries' own work in these areas. The model…

This study compared the career choices of high school seniors to the actual occupations they entered four years after graduation, to determine the extent to which high school seniors can predict career choices. The Indiana Vocational Technical College (IVTC) Questionnaire, Post High-School Educational and Career Plans of Senior Students was used…

Stanton Leggett updates N. L. Englehart's 1928 article about research on planning facilities and shows a school built to specifications for the '80s and beyond. (Author)

Using the Student Inventory File of the OBOR information system, detailed analyses were conducted on 1971-1975 enrollments in Ohio by institution, count, part-time versus full-time status, age, rank, day-evening, marital status, etc. Data on out-of-state enrollments, graduate students, and professional students were also tabulated. (LBH)

Investigates the effects of prediction strategies and predictable materials in teaching ethnic Chinese children in the United States to read in Chinese. Shows that the use of predictable materials and prediction strategies resulted in good responses by the beginning Chinese readers. (MM)

Trends in communications, travel, computers and technology, competition, accountability demands, transformation of knowledge, economic instability, integration, and cultural pluralism exert pressures for educational change. Possible scenarios (superindustrial, authoritarian, ecological, crisis, and composite), with the accompanying implications…

Investigated capability of Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Revised (WISC-R) Verbal Comprehension (VC), Perceptual Organization (PO), and Freedom from Distractibility (FD) factor scores and student self-ratings of behavior to predict academic achievement in students referred for psychological evaluations due to learning and behavior…

This article investigates two common methods of determining the line of best fit and then expands on the techniques used in these methods to find the line of best fit by graphing, estimating and using a microcomputer. (PK)

The study investigated the relationship between prognosis of turnover (before placement) and actual turnover within two years after placement for new handicapped employees (N=1948) in Dutch sheltered workshops. The clinical judgment of rehabilitation professionals proved to be the best predictor variable controlling for all other explanatory…

Indicates that textbook explication alone of causes of events is insufficient for acquisition and use of hierarchically organized knowledge; students must be taught how to construct text-based information into hierarchically structured form and use it for making predictions. (FL)

Investigates the prediction of children's (1) academic achievement on the basis of cognitive tasks given prior to kindergarten, and (2) academic attitudes on the basis of teachers' and mothers' ratings of the children's general cognitive abilities and actual achievement through grades 1, 2, 3, 5, and 10. (HOD)

Circulation time-series data from 50 midwest academic libraries were used to test 110 variants of 8 smoothing forecasting methods. Data and methodologies and illustrations of two recommended methods--the single exponential smoothing method and Brown's one-parameter linear exponential smoothing method--are given. Eight references are cited. (EJS)

Economic reforms in Poland aimed at using human resources will better increase the need for higher education planning and forecasting, but present instabilities reduce the potential, for projection and a new view of higher education as an end in itself and not solely a producer of qualified personnel complicates forecasting processes. (MSE)

Stepwise discriminant analysis coupled with logit regression analysis of freshmen data from Brandon University (Manitoba) indicated that six tested variables drawn from research on university dropouts were useful in predicting attrition: student status, residence, financial sources, distance from home town, goal fulfillment, and satisfaction with…