In decision-theoretic psychometrics, to determine the worth of individualizing instruction, equations are developed for expressing the cost and gain for applying an instructional sequence. This report is divided into three parts: first, a logical analysis of guessing; second, the effect of guessing on the quality of personnel and counselling…

Starting with a set of existing goals, use of the Delphi technique to establish educational goals in this investigation assumed: convergence in perception over rounds, greater convergence on the second round than on later rounds, the reliability of ranking of goals produced, the necessity of at least three rounds, and the desirability of feedback…

A tailored testing model employing the beta distribution, whose mean equals the difficulty of an item and whose variance is approximately equal to the sampling variance of the item difficulty, and employing conditional item difficulties, is proposed. The model provides a procedure by which a minimum number of items of a test, consisting of a set…

This report contains tabular data on energy consumption for the calendar year 1972 and a forecast of natural gas requirements for the period 1973 to 1976. Broad sector categories used in the tables are electric utilities, residential commercial, industrial, and transportation. Tables show energy consumption by primary source and major sector for…

The authors provide a brief description of Teacher Cost Models--a computerized mathematical model that allows educational officials, using a specified set of input information, to forecast the provincial (or regional) teacher wage-bill at the operating level (1-year) and multi-year planning level (five years). The model has been successfully…

The conference summarized in this document represented an exploratory effort concerning the role and objectives of geography, including its predictive capabilities in both studying and directing the future spatial organization of the earth as the home of man. Initial conference presentations by Ronald Abler and William Warntz helped focus…

The report encompasses a joint student-faculty 2-year project (funded under Title III of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act) conducted in an effort to decrease problems of the educationally handicapped students coming to Bacone College. In better preparing the student with low ACT scores for college level work, specialized or modified…

Differential prediction of grade point average for black and white freshman students was empirically investigated at 13 integrated institutions by comparison of regression planes. Particular attention was given to the possibility that prediction procedures that are appropriate for white (majority) students would under-predict the performance of…

The development of a Student Rating Form to be used by faculty in systematically describing college students is outlined in this first of a series of reports concerned with faculty characterizations of students. The treatment is primarily historical, providing a basis for subsequent technical reports of analyses of faculty definitions of desirable…

The ability to anticipate elements in sequence is the foundation of all language skills. Because of its naturally high redundancy, it is almost always possible in the normal use of language to partially predict what will come next in a sequence of elements. The central feature of language processing is expectancy for successive elements. A very…

In addition to a review of the Differential Aptitude Tests (DAT), a number of other aptitude tests are examined. They are: (1) Flanagan Aptitude Classification Tests, (2) Holzinger-Crowder Uni-Factor Tests, (3) Employee Aptitude Survey, (4) Revised Minnesota Paper Form Board Test, (5) Minnesota Clerical Test, and (6) Turse Clerical Aptitudes Test.…

The Delphi technique is a questionnaire method for organizing and shaping opinion through feedback. Although Delphi was originally intended as a tool for scientific and technological forecasting, its more promising educational application appears to be as (1) a method for studying the process of thinking about the future, (2) a pedagogical or…

This document describes a series of seminars held over a 2-year period to help plan for independent and individualized instruction. The first year seminars resulted in the conception of a 2-dimensional system into which all independent and individualized instructional programs could be fitted -- i.e., the means or media (the ways of getting to the…

The objective of this study was to develop an economic approach to the forecasting of allied health manpower in markets in the State of California. The health manpower categories considered included: (1) Medical technology, (2) occupational therapy, (3) dietetic and nutritional services, (4) physical therapy, (5) health administration, (6)…

A citizen-based, long-range goal-setting program for future growth and development is documented in this report. The program spanned over two years in time, involved over 1,100 local citizens, and produced goals and policy guidelines for both the short- and long-range future of the city. The components of the process consisted of staff and support…