This paper argues that judgment-based assessment of data from multiply replicated single-subject or small-N studies should replace normative-based (p=less than 0.05) assessment of large-N research in the clinical sciences, and asserts that inferential statistics should be abandoned as a method of evaluating clinical research data. (Author/JDD)

A Bayesian approach to sensitivity of inferences to possible outliers involves recalculating marginal posterior distributions of parameters of interest under assumptions of heavy tails. This strategy is implemented in the hierarchical model setting through Gibbs sampling, a Monte Carlo technique, and illustrated through a reanalysis of data on…

Suggests that testing developmental ordering hypotheses is difficult because rare use of ratio scales prevents direct comparison of measures. Demonstrates that the observed data pattern is constrained by the underlying relationship--although observed data pattern may not reflect the exact relationship, it limits possible relationships. Shows the…

The quality of approximations to first- and second-order moments based on latent ability estimates is discussed. The ability estimates are based on the Rasch or the two-parameter logistic model, and true score theory is used to account for the fact that the basic quantities are estimates. (SLD)

Proposes the following approach to teaching statistics: an introductory course on collecting, organizing, and presenting data, then a course on analysis and inference. Presents a study o f 339 students indicating that this course sequence results in better learning and less anxiety. (Contains 18 references.) (SK)

Causal effect modeling with naturalistic rather than experimental data is challenging. In observational studies participants in different treatment conditions may also differ on pretreatment characteristics that influence outcomes. Propensity score methods can theoretically eliminate these confounds for all observed covariates, but accurate…

Three meta-analytic studies have shown that bilingual education is an effective method for teaching students who are English language learners. However, there is limited evidence of the effectiveness of bilingual education in preschool. This study used multiple years of data from the Manchester (New Hampshire) Even Start program and relevant…

Pharmacological interventions for smoking cessation are typically evaluated using volunteer samples (efficacy trials) but should also be evaluated in population-based trials (effectiveness trials). Nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) alone and in combination with behavioral interventions was evaluated on a population of smokers from a New England…

This working paper contains the overheads used in a seminar designed to introduce some basic concepts of statistics to nonstatisticians. The seminar has been presented on several occasions. The first part of the seminar, and the first set of overheads, deals with the essentials of statistics, including: (1) population, sample, and inference; (2)…

Explains the use of the construct representation and inference functions of indicators used in construct measurements of self-concept. Illustrates validity and reliability issues with data from 2,114 12th-grade vocational-technical students. (SK)

Four measurement designs are presented for use with correlation coefficients corrected, in one variable, for attenuation due to unreliability (partially disattenuated). Associated asymptotic variance/covariance expressions are presented. Empirical simulation results illustrate the satisfactory Type I error control and statistical power of the…

Principles of statistical process control are applied to a clinical setting through the use of control charts to detect changes, as part of treatment planning and clinical decision-making processes. The logic of control chart analysis is derived from principles of statistical inference. Sample charts offer examples of evaluating baselines and…

This study used survival analysis to overcome problems of principled generalization and individual variability in analysis of the conversational speech of 24 children with speech delay recorded over two years. The derived normalization probabilities were lagged according to the strong delay hypothesis and results converged with previous normative…

Presents an opinion on the appropriate use of significance tests, especially in the context of regression analysis, the most commonly encountered statistical technique in education and related disciplines. Briefly discusses the appropriate use of power analysis. Contains 47 references. (Author/SV)

Presents a problem that describes a real-world situation from World War II that tries to estimate the number of German tanks, half-tracks, and aircraft, and a simulation of that problem in which the selection of a suitable estimate is less apparent. (ASK)