In this study social indicators and survey measures were used to predict three-year service utilization rates at a community mental health center on a geographic basis. Ten social indicators were selected from available census tract statistics and seven survey measures were taken from an epidemiological survey of the catchment area of the mental…

The study is an evaluation of the utility of manpower forecasting in the United States as a basis for manpower, education, and health policy. It examines the methodology employed and the scope of analysis in nearly 400 forecasts made in the period 1965-73. It assesses the adequacy of the theoretical and empirical knowledge base for forecasting in…

This report describes the third study in a program of research dealing with the relationships between the characteristics of human tasks and the abilities required for task performance. The goal of the program is to generate principles which can be used to identify ability requirements from knowledge of the characteristics of a task and of…

Selection fairness is explored in the context of data from DeFunis v. Odegaard, the recent Supreme Court case, and societal demands for increased numbers of minority professionals. These models of selection fairness are considered: Clary's regression model, Darlington's subjective regression model, the equal risk model of Einhorm & Bass,…

The four purposes of this study were: (1) To compare two versions of a tailored testing model similar to one suggested by Kalisch (1974); (2) To identify levels of the variables within the two versions, which produce an efficient tailored testing procedures; (3) To compare, within each version, the results obtained when employing relatively small…

The report presents the methodology used by the National Planning Association (NPA), under contract to the Federal Energy Administration (FEA), to estimate direct labor usage coefficients in some sixty different occupational categories involved in construction, operation, and maintenance of energy facilities. Volume 1 presents direct labor usage…

Two tailored testing models, specifying procedures by which the correctness of examinees' responses to a fixed number of test items are predicted by presenting as few items as possible to the examinee, were compared for their efficiency. The models differ in that one requires reconsideration of each prediction whenever additional information is…

The Delphic Technique utilizes a survey format with multiple rounds of questionnaires, sequential statistical feedback, and respondent anonymity. The principal objective is to use expert opinion to refine predictions about the occurrence of future events. An open-ended questionnaire was sent to 200 subjects selected from the membership of the…

The research reported was an effort to determine whether, in the absence of validated models or measuring instruments effective for objective counseling of mature females, such often-relied upon, easily obtained, visible pieces of data as age, number of children, and educational background are critical predictor variables for counselors and…

In order to assess the effectiveness of the Survey of Reading Achievement Examination in placing freshmen into various levels of freshman English and in predicting scholastic achievement as measured by English grades and total grade point average (GPA), a study was made of 301 Los Angeles City College students chosen at random from the total…

The author conducted two studies of disturbed adolescents in an effort to specify the precursors of severe psychopathology in adulthood, particularly the schizophrenic spectrum of disorders. In the prospective study 35 disturbed adolescents were followed for a five-year period from age 16 to 21. Numerous measures were taken on the target…

This paper analyzes the correlation between ACT scores and grade point average for Mexican-American students. Specifically, it compares the first semester grades of 32 Mexican-American students (Group I) and 32 non-Mexican-American students (Group II) who had comparable economic need and comparable scores on the ACT. Only students who completed…

Effective response by community service agencies to clientele needs is an essential part of community development. A personnel screening instrument, a model for predicting different types of adaptation to occupational stress, is suggested as a means of increasing the responsiveness of service agencies to their local communities. Proposing the use…

This report was prepared to assist the New Jersey Board of Higher Education in allocating state appropriations to community colleges. The selected financial data and related nonfinancial data describing the fiscal operation of community colleges as projected for 1974-75 are summarized. The paper is organized around five topics: Costs in…

This paper presents a critical evaluation of the research study Pygmalion in the Classroom by R. Rosenthal and L. Jacobson (New York: Holt, Rinehard and Winston, 1968) and reports an extensive reanalysis of the Rosenthal-Jacobson data. The Pygmalion study purported to show that children whose teachers expected them to "bloom"…