Describes results of survey of media service directors at public universities in Ohio to determine the expected longevity of audiovisual equipment. Use of the Delphi technique for estimates is explained, results are compared with an earlier survey done in 1977, and use of spreadsheet software to calculate depreciation is discussed. (LRW)

Compared the performance of 338 children on the Miller Assessment for Preschoolers (MAP) in a follow-up study, to eight indices of school functioning, including retention in school, teachers' observations, assignment to special classes or services, and report card grades. Preschoolers with low MAP scores were significantly more likely to be…

A discussion, among several economists, is presented on the major changes in the international economy that have consequences for national, regional, and local economies, as well as implications for institutional planning and policy making. (MLW)

Discusses six broad categories of activities in the context of planning for future organizational changes in academic libraries: facilities, budget, organizational structure, staff, service, and information resources. (EM)

Recent literature has made little attempt to apply historical studies to the problems of contemporary educational administration or to use historical studies as the basis for analysis or prediction. This article examines the role of historical insights in relation to educational administration and proposes approaches that might enhance their…

Reviews research on effects of teacher expectations on student achievement; suggests faulty teacher expectations could affect mathematics achievement when certain conditions are present; and presents recommendations which address teacher expectation behaviors to serve as guidelines for improving classroom environment. (MBR)

A total of 33 special education leaders presented forecasts, through a Delphi survey procedure, for the deinstitutionalization of and the residential and education services for the handicapped. It was predicted that the deinstitutionalization movement will not lose its momentum and that community based residential services will become increasingly…

In our human-centered ignorance and arrogance we are rapidly destroying the earth. We must start helping people understand the big picture of ecological concepts. What these concepts mean for our own lives and how we must begin to change our lifestyles in order to live more harmoniously with the earth. (JHZ)

Results of two experiments revealed a significant correlation between function-word predictability and reader enjoyment and a strong correlation between content-word unpredictability and reader enjoyment. (FL)

Links forecasting and planning with policymaking in social and societal systems and presents a planning and forecasting methods taxonomy which combines with policymaking and interactive simulation as an inquiry method for planning. A case study of university manpower development illustrating interactive simulation/gaming and its potentials for…

A computer-based simulation model for anticipating the need for college facilities and generating and assessing alternative plans is illustrated with the campus plan for a new community college. (MSE)

Eight articles consider different aspects of Orwell's 1984. Beckwith, Wagar, and Gappert consider the book's political relevance; Knapp looks at it from a literary perspective. Theobald sees the need to create new myths; Hamil pokes fun at Big Brother. Trumble and Meese report continuing optimism about the future of Americans. (IS)

An investigation to address the issue of which objective factor would predict performance during the postgraduate year residency and to determine whether the performance of applicants from honors-pass-fail schools was predictable is reported. (MLW)

A method of estimating resident staffing needs is evaluated, including discussion of (1) methodological changes needed to estimate needs for service care and assisting attending physicians with private cases; (2) data collection; (3) representative findings; (4) using cost, ease of use, understandability, communicability, and validity as…

Social theories have long proclaimed the advent of the postindustrial era. In this era, a new paradigm will emerge which will utilize negotiation as the major problem-solving strategy; planning which emphasizes process rather than goal; and change strategies emphasizing the client, group dynamics, and knowledge from the behavioral sciences.…