In an effort to encourage the growth and maturity of its students, Broome Community College in New York abolished its attendance policy. For the past 7 years, both attendance rates and grade point averages (GPA's) of students at the college had been dropping. In 1990, a study was conducted at BCC to determine if there was a measurable relationship…

This paper presents a model for projecting the need for special education teachers which incorporates key elements of a market-based supply/demand model. The model provides equations to predict the supply of both certified and uncertified special education teachers. It involves the following supply factors: current certified employed teacher…

A survey was conducted of the families and teachers of 1009 students with severe disabilities from five states, to identify factors associated with their integrated educational placement. The questionnaires were designed to measure 19 variables which integration literature suggests are predictive of integrated placement. Logistic regression…

The purpose of the study was to identify differences in cognitive skills associated with differing rates of predictive reasoning success for high school biology students, to determine possible correlations between predictive success and cognitive operational level, and to assess whether directed practice facilitated problem-solving success. The…

This study investigated the current and projected needs of 42 school districts in Nassau County, New York, for data processing and educational computer services, current sources of computer services, needed improvements in services, and long-range needs. Analysis of districts' needs for computer services found that the majority of districts needed…

This paper discusses economic, social, and political trends and values/beliefs that will affect the quality of life of persons with developmental disabilities and their families to the year 2000. The paper describes four plausible future scenarios: "America Revitalized"; "Post-Industrial Reformation"; "The Stressed Society"; and "The…

A model for generating global scenarios for higher education is presented, and five global scenarios for the future of higher education in the United States are proposed. Multiple scenarios help to set the context in which planning occurs. They are similar to planning assumptions that many institutional research offices prepare as background…

The self-declared mission for each campus of the University of Nevada system and future plans are described, along with projections regarding the future population and economic changes, resources for the future, and future student enrollment and academic programs. Goals of the overall state system and priorities for the 1980s and 1990s are also…

This exploration of the future of research in special education identifies components of "good research" and reasons for the existence of poor quality research. It cites the difficulty in identifying links between research findings and innovations in practice. Factors that will influence the future of research in special education are noted, such…

This handbook for institutional researchers focuses on describing methods and techniques for conducting and merging external and internal analyses in order to produce an expanded vision of alternative future environments. Such vision is needed for the formulation of strategic long-range plans. Section 1 begins with a discussion of how an internal…

This module is the seventh in an inservice education series for extension professionals that consists of seven independent training modules. It provides information and exercises on working with extension's publics to achieve a proactive stance toward the future through projecting future conditions, analyzing trends, and inventing futures. The…

Senior medical students at the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences were surveyed regarding the value of a program providing regression based predictions of their individual Day 1, 2, 3, and Total Federation Licensure Examination (FLEX) scores and the probability of passing the FLEX for subsequent Arkansas licensure. The prediction formulas…

The Center for Education Statistics (CES) forecasts that current expenditures in public elementary and secondary schools will increase 3.5 percent from school year 1986-87 to school year 1987-88. Current expenditures, which increased 22.6 percent from 1981-82 to 1986-87, are projected to increase 16.4 percent from 1986-87 to 1991-92. One table and…

Whether adjustments to differential prediction observed among sex, racial/ethnic, or age subgroups in a college-level freshman class could be used to improve grade prediction accuracy for these subgroups in future freshman classes was studied. This study is based on the American College Testing program test scores, high school grades, and college…

This study examined and refined a mathematics skills instrument used to predict success in an introductory statistics course and to measure improvement in mathematics skills. Alternate forms of a 28-item true-false test were administered as a pretest and posttest to 18 undergraduate and 19 graduate students enrolled in introductory educational…