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Newman, Isadore; And Others – 1979
A Monte Carlo study was conducted to estimate the efficiency of and the relationship between five equations and the use of cross validation as methods for estimating shrinkage in multiple correlations. Two of the methods were intended to estimate shrinkage to population values and the other methods were intended to estimate shrinkage from sample…
Descriptors: Correlation, Mathematical Formulas, Monte Carlo Methods, Multiple Regression Analysis
Johnston, Denis F. – 1979
The paper identifies major types of social indicators and explains how they can be used in social forecasting. Social indicators are defined as statistical measures relating to major areas of social concern and/or individual well being. Examples of social indicators are projections, forecasts, outlook statements, time-series statistics, and…
Descriptors: Futures (of Society), Measurement Instruments, Policy Formation, Prediction
Download full textWalz, Garry R.; Benjamin, Libby – 1979
Some generalizations drawn from the literature on futurism are set forth in this monograph. Possible social and behavioral consequences of these as they relate to the work of the counselor are projected. The document then suggests some ways counselors can help clients to create rewarding personal futures, and describes a futures studies program…
Descriptors: Change Agents, Counseling Services, Counselor Role, Counselors
Huberty, Carl J.; Mourad, Salah A. – 1979
Methods for ordering and selecting variables for discriminant analysis in multiple group comparison or group prediction studies include: univariate Fs, stepwise analysis, learning discriminant function (LDF) variable correlations, communalities, LDF standardized coefficients, and weighted standardized coefficients. Five indices based on distance,…
Descriptors: Discriminant Analysis, Evaluation Methods, Group Membership, Groups
MEIER, ROBERT C. – 1967
THIS PAPER IS A REPORT ON A RESEARCH PROJECT UNDERTAKEN TO DEVELOP A COMPUTER PROGRAM WHICH WOULD PROVIDE PERIOD-BY-PERIOD ESTIMATES OF FUTURE LAND, BUILDING, AND STAFF REQUIREMENTS UNDER VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE CHARACTER OF THE STUDENT BODY, EDUCATIONAL POLICIES, LEVEL OF RESEARCH ACTIVITY, LEVEL OF SERVICE TO THE COMMUNITY, AND CHARACTER…
Descriptors: Charts, College Buildings, College Planning, Computer Programs
Cooley, William W.; Lohnes, Paul R. – 1968
The primary purpose of this monograph is to describe the relationship between adolescent personality and the educational and vocational development of young adults, criteria for the latter being developed from the Project TALENT follow-up studies. This relationship seeking is set in a context of career development theory and a concern for guidance…
Descriptors: Career Development, Career Guidance, College Students, Followup Studies
Morton, J.E. – 1968
Some of the problems and techniques involved in manpower forecasting are discussed. This non-technical introduction to the field aims at reducing fears of data manipulation methods and at increasing respect for conceptual, logical, and analytical issues. The major approaches to manpower forecasting are explicated and evaluated under the headings:…
Descriptors: Economic Research, Employment Projections, Labor Needs, Mathematical Models
Baldwin, Robert O.; Johnson, Kirk A. – 1968
This study was conducted in 1966 to provide the avionics fundamentals course, class A, with a number of tables for predicting academic performance, either by precourse variables or by grades made early in the course. A means of identifying potential setbacks and potential failures was also desired. In September 1966 a 16 week course replaced the…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Correlation, Evaluation, Evaluation Criteria
American Personnel and Guidance Association, Washington, DC. – 1968
The author reviews a number of different approaches to selecting counselors on both the pre-service and in-service levels, then provides some guidelines for evaluating counselor competence. Counselor selection studies surveyed include: (1) those describing the differences between counselors and non-counselors, (2) those concerned with differences…
Descriptors: Counselor Evaluation, Counselor Performance, Counselor Training, Counselors
Watson, Walter S. – 1969
The report describes a new kind of psychological testing machine, the Logical Analysis Device (LAD), and the attempts to use it for predicting academic grades of 97 freshmen engineering students at The Cooper Union in 1958, 77 of whom were re-tested in 1962. The LAD system allows a subject to proceed in his own way and at his own pace to solve…
Descriptors: Career Choice, Educational Testing, Engineering Education, Grade Prediction
Buckland, M.K.; Woodburn, I. – 1968
As part of a project designed to construct a mathematical model of the operation of an academic library, a research team determined the usefulness of a quantitative approach to making decisions about the number of copies of each item that a university library should provide. Using the reserve collection of the University of Lancaster Library as a…
Descriptors: College Libraries, Decision Making, Information Utilization, Library Materials
New York State Education Dept., Albany. – 1978
Described is a mathematical model developed to analyze and project nursing requirements and resources in New York State one to five years into the future. The model was developed as part of a manpower planning project at the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. New York was one of six states that tested the model. Because it…
Descriptors: Health Occupations, Labor Needs, Labor Utilization, Medical Services
Harman, Willis W. – 1978
This paper, the last in a series of five on the current state of citizen education, forecasts likely societal futures and explores the effectiveness of specific citizen education interventions within varied societal contexts. The content is presented in four parts. The first part summarizes the tasks of citizen education in the preparation of…
Descriptors: Citizen Participation, Community Education, Futures (of Society), Prediction
Olshavsky, Jill Edwards; Kletzing, Karen – 1978
To determine whether poor readers can predict as well as good readers when they read easy material and to determine the effect of material difficulty on predictive ability, a study involving 140 tenth and eleventh graders was conducted. The subjects were randomly selected, with 70 good readers chosen from students who scored at stanines 7, 8, or 9…
Descriptors: High School Students, High Schools, Prediction, Readability
Grosek, Robert J. – 1978
Ten developmentally delayed children and adolescents participated in a rapid method toilet training program. Ss' success in the program was correlated with 11 variables recorded prior to the inception of the program. Response to simple commmands, assaultiveness, destructiveness and social age were found to correlate positively with toileting…
Descriptors: Adolescents, Children, Developmental Disabilities, Exceptional Child Research
