This study assesses the adequacy of Florida's tax structure to meet future demands for government services through an analysis of Florida's major revenue sources (sales tax, gasoline tax, beverage tax and licenses, motor vehicle licenses, racing tax, and cigarette tax) to determine their stability and growth characteristics. The analysis involved…

This book is one expression of the trend to achieve a more systematic study of the future within the specific context of educational futures and their environments. It is intended to bring to educational leaders in a practical manner many of the technological forecasting techniques previously familiar only to science, the military, and industry.…

This report, one of a series of reports from the University of Papua New Guinea, presents information gathered on full-time students from Papua New Guinea and other areas of the South Pacific and relates to one particular factor which contributes to student success and failure, that of overloading. The study reported is confined to the period…

The objectives of this study are: (1) to provide information on the current employment and education and training characteristics of computer occupations, (2) to explore the impact of advancing computer technology on computer manpower and education, and (3) to project computer occupational requirements and their implications for training. Findings…

Obstacles to producing forecasts of the impact of technological change and skill utilization are briefly discussed, and existing models for forecasting manpower requirements are described and analyzed. A survey of current literature reveals a concentration of models for producing long-range national forecasts, but few models for generating…

Described is the development and evaluation of an anticipation game for measuring the ability of 30 special class teachers to predict responses of 290 educable retarded secondary students. The game was based on normative data from the students' responses to a 70 item test. The evaluation phase is said to involve 15 teachers playing 30 rounds of…

This paper describes the continued development of the "Trouble Shooting" Checklists. These checklists are based on change agent responses and are designed to be predictive of an institution's change potential for the adoption of innovations. The development of two new instruments is described, both innovation-free. One applies to higher…

There are two problems with the research on the prediction of achievement in applied communication courses: substantial predictor variables have not been isolated; and theoretical explanation of results have not been developed. The present investigation developed an achievement hypothesis based on similarity-attraction theory. It was predicted…

The absence of suitable external criteria is a recurrent problem for test, battery, and inventory developers in selecting items or tests for inclusion in final operational instruments. This report presents a computing algorithm developed for use when no adequate external selection criterion is available. The algorithm uses a multiple linear…

Reviewed is the research on the early prediction of academic underachievement or learning difficulty and described are predictive projects currently underway by the author. Suggested by the review are that the child at highest risk for school learning difficulties is a later-born male, who has a history of pre or perinatal complications and who is…

The aim of attitude measurement is to derive indices of socially significant behavior. It is therefore necessary to broaden the basis of measurement to include data derived from a variety of sources. The widening gulf between the increasing sophistication of measurement and the relatively crude conceptualizations on which it is based is likely…

Three procedures are examined that educational researchers can use to analyze quantitatively the extent to which modifications of specific teacher behaviors lead to changes in student achievement. The task requires decent descriptions of the behaviors, appropriate statistical tools and measures of student outcomes that are worth while examining.…

The cultivation of talented behavior necessitates identification of (1) the personality attributes inherent in the individual that can serve as predictors of subsequent talented behavior; and (2) the processes by which personality attributes can be reinforced or modified to produce subsequent socially valued behavior. A longitudinal study of Texas…

Reported is a study designed to (1) describe the variations which occur in the attainment of cognitive objectives in high school chemistry, (2) identify patterns of achievement in terms of these cognitive objectives, and (3) investigate the relationship of achievement of these objectives and their patterns to certain personal, attitudinal, and…

The primary aim of this study was to determine whether College Entrance Examination Board (CEEB) Achievement Test results provide additional information for the prediction of academic success beyond the normal data accumulated. The study presents two types of evidence: (1) a prediction of first semester grade point averages (GPA), and (2) a…