Explains that from a prediction standpoint the confluence model is not very efficient. Very modest increments in accuracy are associated with family configuration variables once chronological age is covaried. Suggests that the major postulates of the theory be tested directly, within individuals and with longitudinal data. (Author/AS)

Examined the Wechsler Scales as predictors of academic achievement for a sample of Native Americans (N=75) from the Columbia Basin area. Results indicated significant Verbal-Performance discrepancies with mean Verbal scores significantly below the normative mean and Performance scores at or above the normative mean. (LLL)

Describes development, psychometric properties, and applications of the Wife Abuse Inventory (WAI). Preliminary reliability and validity data, based on 50 cases, are presented for this screening device designed to predict which women are at risk of being abused by their spouses. Potential applications of the WAI are suggested. (NRB)

Tested the utility of the Career Decision Scale in identifying chronic career indecision in 205 high school seniors. Followup data was gathered three years later. Results indicated the CDS factor scores can help identify the more chronically career indecisive students whose indecision is complicated by personality concerns. (JAC)

Explored the relationship between the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test-Revised (PPVT-R) and the Peabody Individual Achievement Test (PIAT) administered to a sample of 29 mentally retarded children. Findings indicated that the PPVT-R predicted achievement as measured by the PIAT only moderately; and that PPVT-R scores correlated with achievement…

Evaluated the predictive validity of the Yellow Brick Road Test (YBRT) relative to performance in reading as measured by the Metropolitan Achievement Test (MAT). A full prediction-performance comparison matrix was employed to compare three different cutoff scores for kindergarten-aged children (N=214). Concluded that the YBRT is moderately valid.…

A study conducted with kindergarten and elementary school children showed that Piagetian tasks which measured seriation, conservation, and multiple classification were equal or superior to traditional intelligence tests in predicting number language, number line comprehension, and verbal arithmetic. (GC)

Generally, this paper aims to: (1) provide clarification, quantification, and some mathematical analysis to the statistical problem of restricted range in a college admissions situation; and (2) discuss various questions related to the problem of selection strategies. (Author/PN)

A sample of male Investigative subjects (N=171) who completed the SDS as freshmen in 1970 was sent a questionnaire four years later. Results indicated that, for Investigative-type freshman males, the SDS has moderately high efficiency in predicting, four years later, their ultimate major and their immediate and future vocational plans. (Author)

Reviews four exemplary techniques: simulation, extrapolation, Delphi, and cross-impact matrix. (IRT)

The purpose of this study was to compare five predictor models, including two least-square procedures, two probability weighting (semi-Bayesian) methods, and a Bayesian model developed by Lindley. (See also TM 501 088, TM 501 089, and TM 501 090) (Author/NE)

Summarizes the results of the substantial number of statistical studies relating to predicting success in graduate education, suggests some practical implications for selecting graduate students, and indicates where further research is needed. (JR)

Expressions for the expected value, density, and distribution function (DF) of GS (gain from selection) are derived and studied in terms of sample size, number of predictors, and the prior distribution assigned to the population multiple correlation. (Author/RK)

There is more than one reasonable definition of test fairness and these definitions are in conflict; alternate formulations are discussed here. (JB)

The prediction of academic achievement within a single university was improved by adjusting predictions on the basis of a multiplicative weight which measures the relative mean success of former graduates from each of the various feeder high schools. (Authors)