Two teaching ideas are shared. The first deals with a game called "Mathardy," which is similar to the old television show "Jeopardy," and which can be adapted to nearly any age and subject matter. The second idea deals with probability graphs of data from a basketball team. (MP)

A model of competition probabilities using past performances of competitors against common opponents is constructed. Application to predicting victories in athletic competitions is also reviewed. (MP)

Record-breaking snowfalls are the starting point of a presentation that delves into many aspects of probability and interesting and unusual aspects of viewing independent, random phenomena. (MP)

Owen's Bayesian tailored testing method is introduced along with a brief review of its derivation. The characteristics of a good item bank are outlined and explored in terms of their influence on the Bayesian tailoring process. (Author/RC)

Describes a game originally published by the Australian Association of Mathematics Teachers (AAMT) as a chance and data activity. Includes a variety of modifications and extensions of the board game, and a discussion on the use of an empirical approach as an access issue. (DDR)

Testing with personal probabilities eliminates guessing whether the subjects are well calibrated. A probability testing study with 47 Dutch elementary school children who used an interactive computer program shows that even 11-year-olds can estimate their personal probabilities correctly. (SLD)

Presents the problem of points and the development of the binomial triangle, or Pascal's triangle. Examines various attempts to solve this problem to give students insight into the nature of mathematical discovery. (KHR)

Proposes lotto games as a source of problems and exercises for classroom activities as well as applications of basic probability concepts in a practical setting which leads to a greater understanding of the remote chance anyone has of winning a lottery game. (KHR)

Outlines several recommendations for teaching probability in the secondary school. Offers an activity that employs simulation by hand and using a programmable calculator in which geometry, analytical geometry, and discrete mathematics are explored. (KHR)

Presents a problem-solving activity, the birth order problem, and several solution-seeking strategies. Includes responses of current and prospective teachers and a comparison of various strategies. (YDS)

Discusses the use or misuse of statistics or probability in society. Presented are examples from opinion polling, sports, the 1970 draft lottery, and the law. Lists 18 references. (YP)

Educational assessment concerns inference about student knowledge, skills, and accomplishments. Test theory has evolved in part to address questions of weight, coverage, and import of data. Resulting concepts and techniques can be viewed as applications of more general principles for inference in the presence of uncertainty. (SLD)

This special issue demonstrates the symmetry and rigor of probabilistic conjoint measurement in practical applications in education and other human sciences. Following the opening chapter introducing the theory, other chapters focus on conjoint measurement in testing and student evaluation, standard setting, and the study of behavior and attitude.…

Examines people's behavior in the Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD), in which a person must make two decisions to win a prize. In a series of five studies, found that people misapprehend probabilities in the MHD. Discusses the MHD's relation to illusion of control, belief perseverance, and the status quo bias. (RJM)

Examined the effects of perceived control and close alternative outcomes on counterfactual generation (thoughts of what could have been). Subjects played a "wheel of fortune" game in which they controlled one of two wheels. Results supported the idea that people generate counterfactuals about events over which they have perceived…