Used naturalistic, longitudinal study to examine predictors of emergence of major depression among 90 nondepressed patients with panic disorder. Twenty-four percent of sample experienced major depressive episode during two-year study. Adequacy and type of medication treatment were not associated with decreased risk. Past history of major…

Conducted prospective examination of factors associated with smoking relapse. Findings from 618 subjects revealed that, at year 1, signal detection analysis (SDA) produced one subgroup with 25 percent nonrelapse rate and another with 9 percent nonrelapse rate. At year two, SDA produced one subgroup with 19 percent nonrelapse rate and another with…

Discusses the history of weather forecasting from the Babylonians to today's computers and provides information on snow, hail, sleet, fog, winds, clouds, and fronts. Includes possible student outcomes and a student quiz. (JOW)

Identifies five trends in security technology and what they mean for colleges and universities in the near future. Trends addressed are: less emphasis on complete system integration; increased prevalence of open networking protocol systems; rising use of proximity and smart cards; increased use of digital technology and remote video surveillance;…

Tested whether an elaborated version of the perceptual loop theory (W. Levelt, 1983) and the main interruption rule was consistent with existing time course data (E. Blackmer and E. Mitton, 1991; C. Oomen and A. Postma, in press). The study suggests that including an inner loop through the speech comprehension system generates predictions that fit…

Illustrates procedures for prediction analysis in 2 X 2 contingency tables through the analyses of solutions of six types of problems associated with the acquisition of fractions. Reviews and extends confidence interval procedures previously proposed for an index of predictive efficiency of implication hypotheses. Compares frequentist coverage…

Presents and evaluates three estimators for "p," the proportion of success in predicting variable "Y," with nominal measurement, using predictor variables that also have nominal measurement. Showed through simulation that one estimator is always biased upward, and then proposed another possible estimator that involves using…

Studied the extent to which inspection time (IT) relates to psychometric intelligence through general intelligence or through group factors and examined whether IT relates to psychometric intelligence independent from other elementary cognitive tasks. Results for 569 twins aged 6 to 13 years suggest that IT and other elementary tasks predict…

When items on one list receive more encoding than items on another list, the improvement in performance usually manifests as an increase in the hit rate and a decrease in the false alarm rate (FAR). A common account of this strength based mirror effect is that participants adopt a more strict criterion following a strongly than weakly encoded list…

This article reports some calculations on free-recall data from B. Murdock and J. Metcalfe (1978), with vocal rehearsal during the presentation of a list. Given the sequence of vocalizations, with the stimuli inserted in their proper places, it is possible to predict the subsequent sequence of recalls--the predictions taking the form of a…

The St. Louis Cardinals are scheduled to play their home opener the next day and Megan Riley, a young meteorologist who works for a private weather consulting firm, is responsible for developing the weather forecast. It's looking like she may need to change her prediction from rain to snow. In this interrupted case study, students work in small…

Homicide rates in Canada have shown a decline since 1975, but there has been little empirical study of this trend. P. Holinger (1987) predicted and confirmed that the size of the cohort aged 15-24 in the United States population was associated with the rise and fall of the homicide rate in that country. This study was designed to test this…

Previous studies have failed to demonstrate lexically induced delays in phoneme recognition, casting doubt on interactive models of speech perception. We present TRACE simulations that explain these failures: previously tested conditions failed to produce lexically induced delay effects because the input was too unambiguous and the control…

Probability judgments for packed descriptions of events (e.g., the probability that a businessman does business with a European country) are compared with judgments for unpacked descriptions of the same events (e.g., the probability that a businessman does business with England, France, or some other European country). The prediction that…

Previous research suggests that children can infer causal relations from patterns of events. However, what appear to be cases of causal inference may simply reduce to children recognizing relevant associations among events, and responding based on those associations. To examine this claim, in Experiments 1 and 2, children were introduced to a…