Multiple scenario analysis addresses the dilemma of strategic planners who must have some understanding of the future while recognizing the inadequacy of predicting it. By adopting this approach, planners can consider a wide range of possible developments. (MLW)

Argues that in analyzing effects of early experience on development of cognitive competence, theoretical analyses as well as empirical investigations should be based on a transactional model of development. Shows optimal stimulation hypothesis, particularly the enhancement prediction, seems to represent a transactional approach to the study of…

Reports generalizations about specific patterns emerging from a panel employing a decision-making Delphi process that attempted to forecast the long-range general environment for higher education in Michigan. Participating were 24 influential persons with knowledge of factors important within the state. (Author/RH)

The founder of future studies was the English novelist, popularizer, and journalist H. G. Wells. In Wells all the tendencies in earlier futurist thought coalesced, and in his abundant writings, models may be found for nearly all that is best in present day futures inquiry. (RM)

Seismic events which took place during 1982 form the focus of this review on 1982 seismic research activities and projects. Funding problems for local and other networks, earthquake-prediction research (funded by National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act of 1977: P.L. 95-124), use of computers, and aftershocks are among the areas addressed. (JN)

Two competing theories of social facilitation, one stressing audience presence and the other stressing the threat of evaluation, were tested to determine their efficacy in predicting oral reading performance of 24 academically handicapped children (9- to 12-year-olds). (Author)

Investigates effectiveness of communicative variables for predicting leadership emergence in long-term, nonlaboratory groups. Concludes that leadership prediction is possible based on group's ratings of selected communicative functions. Group sensitivity to communicative functions at initial session allows for potential group leader selection.…

Locus of control subjects estimated their outcomes for two term exams and final grades. Internals' estimates and actual outcomes were higher than those of externals . Internals' estimates from the first to second exam were characterized by more typical expectancy shifts demonstrating greater responsiveness to initial performance feedback.…

Medical records of 88 five- to twelve-year-old boys (44 with central language problems and a diagnosed hyperactive behavior syndrome) were reviewed. The best predictor of membership in the group with language problems and diagnosed hyperactivity was family alcohol problems. (Author)

The study involving 105 boys and 108 girls from first, second, and third grades investigated the correlations among measures of perceptual-motor abilities, self-concept, and reading achievement and determined whether perceptual-motor ability and self-concept score can predict reading achievement in the early elementary grades. (Author/SBH)

Explores children's predicting and inferencing strategies for understanding written materials by analyzing an example of one second grader's oral reading. Discusses theory of reading comprehension processes, as well as how teachers can develop student's predicting and inferencing abilities at word, sentence and suprasentential levels. (RH)

Ratings of mood quality and intensity of response were derived from interviews with 58 nursery school children (ages 3 to 5) and from direct observations. Findings based on these two attributes signaled emotional distress and identified those children who required referral for clinical disorders within the subsequent five-year period. (Author/PHR)

The validity of the Adaptive Behavior Scale (ABS) for placement purposes was estimated using as Ss 95 formerly institutionalized retarded persons, 97 institutional residents referred for discharge, and 178 institutional residents. Results suggest that knowledge of an individual's ABS scores would enable a test user to make valid estimates of group…