The utilization of computer programed mathematical models for educational planning has a brief but rapidly accelerating history. This paper describes and, to some extent, evaluates several of these models. It also discusses some of the theoretical problems associated with their formulation and implementation. Models surveyed are of: (1) the…

The purpose of this study was to identify characteristics which describe high school dropouts. The investigation attempted to identify variables which would assist in differentiating persisters and withdrawals at Northeast High School in Kansas City, Missouri and in predicting dropouts at East High School on the basis of variable weightings drawn…

This paper projects present trends and capabilities into the future, conjectures about the educational implications of these trends, and proposes some possible responses for those involved in the preparation of school personnel. It is simultaneously an illustration and an application of the process of "futurism" and its increasing relevance to…

A study designed to assess the academic performance of native and transfer students in the upper division of the University of Florida was launched to analyze and compare grade point averages, attrition rates, and progress towards graduation of various groups admitted to the program and to determine whether previous academic performance is related…

Thirty hearing and 181 deaf young adults, whose vocationally relevant traits and prevocational behaviors were the focus of 1969 and 1970 studies, were interviewed in a followup study to determine current vocational status as well as early and current determinants of vocational adjustment. Some of the results indicated that the deaf young adults…

Three experiments were conducted in order to investigate teacher- and experimenter-bias effects on children's learning and performance. Teacher-bias effects on children's Stanford Achievement Test (SAT) performance were assessed in a one and a half year longitudinal study in two second- and two fourth-grade classrooms. The teacher-bias…

The report, one of a series resulting from a project to design planning procedures for local and State vocational agencies, describes LIONS (Labor and Industry Occupational Needs System), a computer system designed to provide forecasts of the demand for various occupational skills by area for the State of New Jersey. The methodology may have…

High attrition rates at colleges and universities are costly to students and to institutions, in terms of money, time, effort, etc. The prediction of academic success or failure is related to the problem of accountability. In order to plan and account for certain program expenditures, it becomes imperative to predict the needs and behaviors of…

The prediction of students' writing ability by the development of multiple regression models was investigated. Seventy-one essays and scores on the California Language Test by average seventh graders were used. Essays were entered in a modified Project Essay Grade (PEG) computer program. Results for three specific models are presented: (1) overall…

Twenty-nine community characteristics were studied to determine which were statistically most useful as predictors of per-pupil Federal aid to the 169 school districts of Connecticut. Three regression models were developed using community traits as predictors of Federal aid allocations. Cross-validation of regression models to predict future…

Part 1 of this conference consists of the six papers presented: (1) "Readers and Reading in 1980," (2) "A Futuristic View of Libraries, Information Transfer, and Media Forms," (3) "A Relative Influence of the Bookseller and the Library on the Publishing Decision," (4) "World Without Walls," (5) "Getting…

Future community changes in Pittsburgh over the next five years are predicted in this study, the purpose of which is to determine the extent of community consensus regarding changes and the extent to which widely differing perspectives of community leaders might contribute to conflict. One hundred and six selected, prominent, community leaders…

The newsletter is not only a means of information on social and human forecasting but, moreover, a way of world intercommunication on the topic. Typical issues include current announcements and information (written primarily in English but also in other languages with English translations provided) on: 1) aims, intentions, and activities of…

The author states that projection of future populations is not feasible because the chief factor in the computations, the birth rate, cannot be predicted with certainty. The paper discusses some national implications, and also suggests that census data by school district can be useful in improving formulas for distribution of federal and State…

Forecasts for manpower requirements by NUSC for fiscal years 1973 and 1974 were made using a linear regression model of the goal programming variety. An application of one of the Charnes, Cooper, Niehaus career management models for manpower planning was then made to evaluate the consequences of the policy reducing average GS grade to 9.35 while…