Five personality scales, developed without regard to theory, were administered to 96 high school students. The correlations of these scales with four standard measures of academic achievement were compared with personality-achievement correlations from previous studies that used personality scales derived theoretically. These latter correlations…

The defining property of an admissible scoring system is that any individual perceives himself as maximizing his expected score by reporting his true subjective distribution. The use of admissible scoring systems as a measure of probabilistic forecasts is becoming increasingly well-known in those cases where the forecast is a discrete distribution…

This rejoinder to McCall (Volume 56, 217-218) discusses the differences in viewpoint with respect to the relationship between models and theory, the notion of "direct" tests of propositions, and the use of measures of explained variance to evaluate model performance. (Author/BE)

This article describes a science education program in an urban ghetto school. (PD)

The study combines 2 empirical and theoretical traditions--one emphasizing individual attitudes and the other emphasizing reference group expectations--in an attempt to improve prediction of a behavioral act. (FF)

Using as a measure the magnitude of differences between the responses of believers and non-believers and between members of six academic fields it is evident that beliefs are generally a clearly better predictor of perceived conflict and of expressed concern than is academic field. (Authro)

Discusses weaknesses in Weiss' arguments and techniques for the nonlinear predictor of academic achievement. (MB)

Macro-system forecasting provides a rationale for arranging trends and forecasts, and a national goal program analysis. (Author/RA)

Delphi technique as used by the University of Virginia School of Education. (LR)

Describes a mathematical model used in statistical prediction. Model is derived from known independent continuously variable quantities having the same distribution. (RS)

Offers 10 humorous observations to convention-goers, whether old hands or neophytes, designed to increase the probability of a successful convention experience. (RW)

Explores the similarities between ancient prophecy and modern futures prediction. The article suggests that the perceived degree of certainty in predictions of the future affects the patterns of emotional and rational responses in those receiving them. (AM)