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Adam C. Sales; Ethan Prihar; Johann Gagnon-Bartsch; Ashish Gurung; Neil T. Heffernan – Grantee Submission, 2022
Randomized A/B tests allow causal estimation without confounding but are often under-powered. This paper uses a new dataset, including over 250 randomized comparisons conducted in an online learning platform, to illustrate a method combining data from A/B tests with log data from users who were not in the experiment. Inference remains exact and…
Descriptors: Research Methodology, Educational Experiments, Causal Models, Computation
Tianci Liu; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2022
Multidimensional Item Response Theory (MIRT) is widely used in educational and psychological assessment and evaluation. With the increasing size of modern assessment data, many existing estimation methods become computationally demanding and hence they are not scalable to big data, especially for the multidimensional three-parameter and…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Computation, Monte Carlo Methods, Algorithms
Vincent Dorie; George Perrett; Jennifer L. Hill; Benjamin Goodrich – Grantee Submission, 2022
A wide range of machine-learning-based approaches have been developed in the past decade, increasing our ability to accurately model nonlinear and nonadditive response surfaces. This has improved performance for inferential tasks such as estimating average treatment effects in situations where standard parametric models may not fit the data well.…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Causal Models, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
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Minju Kim; Adena Schachner – Developmental Science, 2025
Listening to music activates representations of movement and social agents. Why? We test whether causal reasoning plays a role, and find that from childhood, people can intuitively reason about how musical sounds were generated, inferring the events and agents that caused the sounds. In Experiment 1 (N = 120, pre-registered), 6-year-old children…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Abstract Reasoning, Thinking Skills, Music
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Kirstie Hartwell; Bahar Köymen – Social Development, 2025
To reach rational conclusions, we often draw inferences about the evidence that supports one solution over another. This evidence can be "direct" and indicate why one option is correct, or "indirect" and indicate why the alternative option is incorrect. Understanding how young children interpret and use different types of…
Descriptors: Young Children, Childrens Attitudes, Evidence, Inferences
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Paul A. Jewsbury; Matthew S. Johnson – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2025
The standard methodology for many large-scale assessments in education involves regressing latent variables on numerous contextual variables to estimate proficiency distributions. To reduce the number of contextual variables used in the regression and improve estimation, we propose and evaluate principal component analysis on the covariance matrix…
Descriptors: Factor Analysis, Matrices, Regression (Statistics), Educational Assessment
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Emke Op 't Eynde; Mayra Lara Mascareño; Fien Depaepe; Lieven Verschaffel; Joke Torbeyns – Mathematics Education Research Journal, 2025
This study examined the teacher-child interactions during shared book reading (SBR) in the domain of early mathematics. We investigated preschool teachers' and children's talk in terms of (1) communicative acts, mathematical focus, and level of abstraction (literal versus inferential), (2) the sequential relation between teacher's talk and…
Descriptors: Teacher Student Relationship, Interaction, Reading Aloud to Others, Mathematics Education
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Cathy On-Ying Hung; Mingjia Cai; Xian Liao – Journal of Research in Reading, 2025
Background: Executive function (EF) is significantly associated with reading comprehension outcomes, yet the interaction between EF and critical language skills (including vocabulary, morphological awareness (MA) and syntactic knowledge), across these levels of reading comprehension (literal, inferential and evaluative comprehension) has rarely…
Descriptors: Executive Function, Reading Comprehension, Language Skills, Vocabulary
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Iesyah Rodliyah; I Ketut Budayasa; Siti Khabibah – Educational Process: International Journal, 2025
Background/purpose: This study aims to examine the inferential statistical literacy of mathematics education students based on their cognitive styles--field-dependent (FD) and field-independent (FI). Inferential statistical literacy involves not only understanding statistical concepts such as hypothesis testing and parameter estimation but also…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Statistics Education, Mathematics Education, Cognitive Style
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Abel, Roman; Niedling, Luka Maria; Hänze, Martin – Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2021
Recent studies on text sequencing found learning advantages of interleaving over blocking in terms of high-level inferences. We conducted a 2 × 2 × 2 mixed factorial experiment with college students (n = 117) by manipulating text sequence (interleaved vs. blocked) and self-questioning activity while reading (spontaneous vs. prompted) between…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Inferences, Reading Processes, Reading Comprehension
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Miller, Alyssa L.; Wissman, Kathryn T.; Peterson, Daniel J. – Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2021
Research suggests exposure to misinformation continues to impact belief and reasoning, even if that misinformation has been corrected (referred to as the "Continued Influence Effect, CIE"). The proposed experiment explores two potentially important factors that may impact the effect: (a) learner age and (b) length of delay between…
Descriptors: Inferences, Thinking Skills, Age Differences, Misconceptions
Andrew Gelman; Matthijs Vákár – Grantee Submission, 2021
It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure that uses the data to determine how much adjustment to perform. The result is a novel analysis with increased…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Analysis, Efficiency, Statistical Inference
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Rrita Zejnullahi – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2021
Background: Meta-analysis is considered to be the gold standard for evidence synthesis. It involves combining data from multiple independent sources to produce a summary estimate with improved precision. Traditionally, meta-analysis methods have been applied to a large collection of studies, and past research efforts have indicated its numerous…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Randomized Controlled Trials, Sample Size, Best Practices
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Cleary, Timothy J.; Slemp, Jackie; Reddy, Linda A.; Alperin, Alexander; Lui, Angela; Austin, Amanda; Cedar, Tori – School Psychology Review, 2023
The primary purpose of this study was to systematically review the literature regarding the characteristics, use, and implementation of an emerging assessment methodology, "SRL microanalysis." Forty-two studies across diverse samples, contexts, and research methodologies met inclusion criteria. The majority of studies used microanalysis…
Descriptors: School Psychology, School Psychologists, Evaluation Methods, Metacognition
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Najera, Hector – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2023
Measurement error affects the quality of population orderings of an index and, hence, increases the misclassification of the poor and the non-poor groups and affects statistical inferences from binary regression models. Hence, the conclusions about the extent, profile, and distribution of poverty are likely to be misleading. However, the size and…
Descriptors: Poverty, Error of Measurement, Classification, Statistical Inference
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