A multiparameter, programmable model was developed to examine the interactive influence of certain parameters on the probability of deciding that an examinee had attained a specified degree of mastery. It was applied within the simulated context of performance testing of military trainees. These parameters included: (1) the number of assumed…

Sixty undergraduates were given one of five programmed mathematics texts. The texts were either completely programmed, programmed only for definitions, programmed only for calculations, programmed only for conceptual information, or not programmed at all. Time spent reading each section of the eight-unit text was recorded and a 24-question…

This report is an attempt to analyze the aggression which occurs within extended dyadic interchanges of parent and child, husband and wife, or sibling and peers. An argument is made for a "performance" theory of children's noxious behaviors based on the assumption that most children, exposed to modeling and reinforcing contingencies through which…

This report provides an analysis of young men in the Parnes National Longitudinal Surveys who were enrolled in manpower programs from 1963 to 1972. It provides information on the Probability that members of the 5,225 sample would enter a manpower program, given personal and economic characteristics. The report evaluates the relationship of…

The four purposes of this study were: (1) To compare two versions of a tailored testing model similar to one suggested by Kalisch (1974); (2) To identify levels of the variables within the two versions, which produce an efficient tailored testing procedures; (3) To compare, within each version, the results obtained when employing relatively small…

A computer simulation of Bayes' Theorem was conducted in order to determine the probability that an examinee was a master conditional upon his test score. The inputs were: number of mastery states assumed, test length, prior expectation of masters in the examinee population, and conditional probability of a master getting a randomly selected test…

This monograph on elementary probability for middle school, junior high, or high school consumer mathematics students is divided into two parts. Part one emphasizes lessons which cover the fundamental counting principle, permutations, and combinations. The 5 lessons of part I indicate the objectives, examples, methods, application, and problems…

Two tailored testing models, specifying procedures by which the correctness of examinees' responses to a fixed number of test items are predicted by presenting as few items as possible to the examinee, were compared for their efficiency. The models differ in that one requires reconsideration of each prediction whenever additional information is…

In a primer intended for the administrative professions, for the behavioral sciences, and for education, simulation and its various aspects are defined, illustrated, and explained. Man-model simulation, man-computer simulation, all-computer simulation, and analysis are discussed as techniques for studying object systems (parts of the "real…

The primary aim of this guide is to aid teachers in planning and preparing a senior high school mathematics course for students preparing for college work. It is divided into separate one-semester courses of seven chapters each. The first-semester course consists of a traditional approach to the introduction of trigonometry and trigonometric…

The previous theoretical development of the Poisson process as a strong model for the true-score theory of mental tests is discussed, and additional theoretical properties of the model from the standpoint of individual examinees are developed. The paper introduces the Erlang process as a family of test theory models and shows in the context of…

"Environmental measures" in the forms of probability inductions are conceptualized to express the relationship between environmental conditions (temperature, illumination, etc.) and human satisfaction levels for comfort and utility. An "evaluation" method is hypothesized as a way to gather the data needed to make environmental measure probability…

The contention is made that group performance data are useful in the construction and interpretation of criterion-referenced tests. The Mastery Learning Test Model, which was developed for analyzing criterion-referenced test data, is described. An estimate of the proportion of students in an instructional group having achieved the referent…

The reliability and validity of a tailored testing procedure based on the simple logistic model was determined for an achievement test in statistics and measurement. The test was administered on a CRT terminal to students from graduate and undergraduate measurement courses. Equivalent form reliability over a one-week interval was found to be 0.595…

This paper briefly reviews how subjects enhance performance by favoring some stimuli over others. The author calls the mechanism by which this is achieved "expectancy", a generic term including preparatory set, behavioral hypotheses, orienting reflex, and anticipatory goal responses. Temporal and event expectancy are contrasted. Verbal prediction…