Cross-validated classification accuracies were compared under assumptions of equal and varying degrees of unequal prior probabilities of group membership for 24 bootstrap and 48 simulated data sets. The data sets varied in sample size, number of predictors, relative group size, and degree of group separation. Total-group hit rates were used to…

Women exhibit a wide range of responses to a sexual assault. This study focused on two factors that may either hinder or facilitate postrape recovery and which are potentially modifiable: (1) causal attributions; and (2) coping strategies. Rape survivors (n=105) seen at a sexual assault resource service in Minneapolis, Minnesota, completed…

Describes the need for more reliable economic forecasts, and current models used in economic research. Also discusses the problems inherent in economic prediction, and some recent successes and failures in economic forecasting. (MLH)

The aim of the present study was to reestablish more firmly the position stated by Bem and McConnell (1970), to the effect that the dissonance and self-prediction theories do not generate unequivocally conflicting predictions. (Author/RK)

Forecasting techniques developed by government and industry are being applied to various library statistics. These techniques are explained and examples of their use discussed. (Author)

Presents trend projection models that address four problems--dramatic growth, modest growth, gradual decline, and precipitous decline. Each model approximates a linear trend over short time intervals. The models employ very elementary mathematics to produce forecasts of high accuracy. (Author/IRT)

Reports the results of a Delphi probe of the perceptions of medical school deans regarding the most significant changes in medical education and in the health care system that they expect to influence medical education over the next 20 years. (Editor)

Reports on results of a technique for forecasting that was drawn from work in predicting technological change and is concerned with introducing the force of systematizing substantive decisions through formal techniques that make use of the subjective knowledge of experts. (Editor/PG)

The scales of the Self-Directed Search (SDS) correlate with the scales of the Kuder, the Thurstone Temperament Schedule, the Bennett Mechanical Comprehension Test, and the Minnesota Paper Form Board in predictable ways across three small samples of high school students. The results support the validity of the SDS. (Author)

Although group counseling is recognized as a needed and helpful approach, group counseling for enhancing career development has received little attention. This monograph provides information on group process, ideas, and techniques which have helped tie the principles of career development to group counseling. Chapter 1 defines group career…

The ability of social, economic, and educational variables to predict screening outcomes among 398 school districts in a statewide preschool screening program was examined. First, salient demographic and educational variables were identified and reduced to five global factors using principal components factor analysis. Then, five factor scores and…

Recent research has refuted the behaviorist approach by establishing a relationship between emotion and behavior. The data collection procedure, however, has often involved an inferred emotional state from a hypothetical situation. As partial fulfillment of a class requirement, 60 college students were asked to perform two problem solving tasks…

Previous research has suggested that good students (those above the median) are better than poor students (below the median) at estimating their academic performance. To examine the relationship between pre-test predictions and post-test estimations of academic performance, 30 college students were asked to predict their scores on each of four…