A substantial body of data and a number of reviews of the literature on risk encouraged this attempt to construct a theoretically consistent approach to research on risk. Much of the research can be seen as attempting to estimate the probability that development will be compromised for groups of infants born under different circumstances. Linear…

This paper evaluates a program for assessing and/or training choice-making skills as a means of providing opportunities for adults with profound mental retardation to express food and drink preferences. In Experiment 1, the assessment/training procedure involving repeated, paired-item presentations, resulted in active choice-making and the…

An approach to policy analysis for college officials is described that is based on evaluating and using information about the external environment to consider policy options for the future. The futures approach involves the following tasks: establishing an environmental scanning system to identify critical trends and emerging issues, identifying…

This study examined four measures of creativity as predictors of mathematics and science performance in a program for talented high school students (N=29). Correlational analyses indicated that the How Do You Think Test (HDYT) and ratings on the Teachers' Evaluation of Students' Creativity (TESC) were predictive of the students' performance in the…

This study investigated neurological and psychomotor development and intelligence from birth to 8 years of age among Swedish infants with intrauterine growth retardation (IUGR). The relationship between neonatal neurological and behavioral condition to follow-up results was also investigated. Twenty-two infants with IUGR were arranged in 2 groups…

The nature of the criterion (dependent) variable may play a useful role in structuring a list of classification/prediction problems. Such criteria are continuous in nature, binary dichotomous, or multichotomous. In this paper, discussion is limited to the continuous normally distributed criterion scenarios. For both cases, it is assumed that the…

In a follow-up of 407 mentally retarded children first studied in 1959, the study examined contributing influences of parental attitude and child-rearing practices as well as the larger society's socializing practices. Original demographic and attitudinal data were used to predict the functional adjustment of 70 members of the original cohort.…

To discover if editors' perceptions of audience opinions had changed and to determine the accuracy of editors' predictions regarding readers' reactions to using videotex, a 1987 study repeated a 1976 survey of Associated Press managing editors, and compared the responses with the original survey results. Surveys were sent to 302 Associated Press…

The Center for Education Statistics (CES) projects that this fall (1988), nearly 100,000 more students will enroll in public elementary and secondary schools than last year. Public school enrollment in grades K-8 is expected to increase 1.6 percent from 28.0 million in 1987 to 28.4 million in 1988. In contrast, public school enrollment in grades…

In 1984, Arizona governmental officials began studying a social problem plaguing both the state and country for many years: "Does a teacher incentive program enhance the profession and student achievement?" Research and evaluation has been underway for over 3 years and is focusing on the parameters of a model which will be reported to policy…

The number of public high school graduates, which had been decreasing for the past 10 years, is projected to increase through 1988-89. After 1988-89, the number of public high school graduates is projected to begin decreasing once again--at least until the early 1990s. The data used in these forecasts were obtained from the Common Core of Data…

In an attempt to determine the variables that best predict HOME (Home Observation for Measurement of the Environment) scores, a measure for identifying young at-risk children, 52 mothers of infants completed questionnaires based on HOME. Clinical observation of mother-child interaction was also performed. The questionnaire was found to be…

The concepts of long-range planning and strategic planning are explained, and a planning model is proposed. Attention is directed to an environmental scanning model that is congruent with the concept of strategic planning and that emerges from one portion of the futures research community, issues management. A third planning model, the strategic…

Self-efficacy, or a person's perception of his/her own mastery of a skill, affects subsequent task performance and predictions of future performance. To examine older adults' metamemorial knowledge with respect to predicting their performance on everyday and laboratory memory tasks, 28 adults (22 females, 6 males), aged 58 to 80 years, completed a…

The presentation summarizes data from a 5-year longitudinal study involving 108 special needs students who were part of a cooperative vocational exploration and training program for the handicapped. The program, designed to overcome obstacles in rural areas, moved from a centralized to decentralized model of vocational service delivery that…