The split-population exponential design suggested by Maltz and McCleary to predict parolee recidivism (TM 502 998) was applied to discharged psychiatric inpatients. Parameter estimates changed systematically as greater and greater observation time was allowed in the computation, thus limiting extrapolability. (Author/GDC)

Evaluates the effects of school desegregation on children's prejudice, self-esteem, and achievement, in terms of predictions made by social scientists in the 1954 Supreme Court case Brown v. Board of Education. (BD)

Communicative "incidents" in a research and development organization are assigned to three theoretical clusters: the power advancement cluster, the power pressure cluster, and the central figure cluster, to produce predictive generalizations about organizational communication. (JMF)

A study focused on two questions: whether the admissions rating scheme of Stanford University could effectively predict academic performance and whether students with different abilities gravitate to different academic departments. The relationship between academic performance and affiliation and such characteristics as sex and ethnic group were…

Identifies two major directions in forecasting higher education in the Soviet Union: forecasting specific subsystems such as financing, materials, physical plants, and organization; and forecasting the system as a whole. Discusses the need for integration within these two areas of forecasting. (Author/DB)

Investigates the importance of using levels of intellectual ability as a control variable in studies of nonintellectual factors in academic achievement and determines the utility of the Edwards Personal Preference Schedule as a supplement to academic aptitude test scores in the prediction of success in college. (Author/DEP)

Predictors of success in learning manual expressive communication were examined for 15 nonverbal profoundly retarded males (14-30 years old). (Author/CL)

Examination of the snowfall and total precipitation data for Rochester, New York, suggests a correlation with sunspot activity. Data from other locations tend to support the thesis, but the ability to predict yearly snowfall or total precipitation amounts from sunspot activity has yet to be developed. (Author/CP)

Previous studies have indicated that explaining a hypothetical event makes the event seem more likely through the creation of causal connections. However, such effects could arise through the use of the availability heuristic; that is, subjective likelihood is increased by an event becoming easier to "imagine". Two experiments were designed to…

Shows that attrition/persistence (dropouts or students not continuously enrolled versus students continuously enrolled) is the primary, significant, single variate in the prediction of grades, and that attrition/persistence and American College Test (ACT) scores are the significant multiple variates in the prediction of grade point average. (RL)

Reviews the history and impetus for continuing the practice of futurism (also known as futures studies, futures research, and futuristics). Reports on the Futures Group project sponsored by the National Science Foundation (NSF). Areas recommended for study by the group are listed. (CP)

Part 1 of this study demonstrated that a test battery using football skills and motor ability test items had discriminatory power and indicated that football potential may be predicted; part 2 evaluated three different football teams from three strata of competition using the battery tested in Part 1. (MM)

In the last 3 years Hispanic leaders have projected that by the year 2000, Latinos will be the largest racial/ethnic group, after the Anglos, in the United States. This article explores the bases for these projections by examining what factors might influence the growth, and what some implications of this growth might be for the country and…

Through proper job matching and the scrapping of useless criteria, most jobs could be filled by people unemployed or underemployed who are anxious and very capable of filling them. (Author/NQ)

Seven techniques for measuring information processing in infants are proposed to aid in the early identification of mental retardation. The techniques are based on conditioning, attentional, and manual exploration paradigms and could be combined into an assessment battery more valid than current infant IQ tests in predicting later disability.…