Some of the problems and techniques involved in manpower forecasting are discussed. This non-technical introduction to the field aims at reducing fears of data manipulation methods and at increasing respect for conceptual, logical, and analytical issues. The major approaches to manpower forecasting are explicated and evaluated under the headings:…

This study was conducted in 1966 to provide the avionics fundamentals course, class A, with a number of tables for predicting academic performance, either by precourse variables or by grades made early in the course. A means of identifying potential setbacks and potential failures was also desired. In September 1966 a 16 week course replaced the…

The author reviews a number of different approaches to selecting counselors on both the pre-service and in-service levels, then provides some guidelines for evaluating counselor competence. Counselor selection studies surveyed include: (1) those describing the differences between counselors and non-counselors, (2) those concerned with differences…

The report describes a new kind of psychological testing machine, the Logical Analysis Device (LAD), and the attempts to use it for predicting academic grades of 97 freshmen engineering students at The Cooper Union in 1958, 77 of whom were re-tested in 1962. The LAD system allows a subject to proceed in his own way and at his own pace to solve…

As part of a project designed to construct a mathematical model of the operation of an academic library, a research team determined the usefulness of a quantitative approach to making decisions about the number of copies of each item that a university library should provide. Using the reserve collection of the University of Lancaster Library as a…

Described is a mathematical model developed to analyze and project nursing requirements and resources in New York State one to five years into the future. The model was developed as part of a manpower planning project at the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. New York was one of six states that tested the model. Because it…

This paper, the last in a series of five on the current state of citizen education, forecasts likely societal futures and explores the effectiveness of specific citizen education interventions within varied societal contexts. The content is presented in four parts. The first part summarizes the tasks of citizen education in the preparation of…

To determine whether poor readers can predict as well as good readers when they read easy material and to determine the effect of material difficulty on predictive ability, a study involving 140 tenth and eleventh graders was conducted. The subjects were randomly selected, with 70 good readers chosen from students who scored at stanines 7, 8, or 9…

Ten developmentally delayed children and adolescents participated in a rapid method toilet training program. Ss' success in the program was correlated with 11 variables recorded prior to the inception of the program. Response to simple commmands, assaultiveness, destructiveness and social age were found to correlate positively with toileting…

This study assesses the adequacy of Florida's tax structure to meet future demands for government services through an analysis of Florida's major revenue sources (sales tax, gasoline tax, beverage tax and licenses, motor vehicle licenses, racing tax, and cigarette tax) to determine their stability and growth characteristics. The analysis involved…

This book is one expression of the trend to achieve a more systematic study of the future within the specific context of educational futures and their environments. It is intended to bring to educational leaders in a practical manner many of the technological forecasting techniques previously familiar only to science, the military, and industry.…

This report, one of a series of reports from the University of Papua New Guinea, presents information gathered on full-time students from Papua New Guinea and other areas of the South Pacific and relates to one particular factor which contributes to student success and failure, that of overloading. The study reported is confined to the period…

The objectives of this study are: (1) to provide information on the current employment and education and training characteristics of computer occupations, (2) to explore the impact of advancing computer technology on computer manpower and education, and (3) to project computer occupational requirements and their implications for training. Findings…

Obstacles to producing forecasts of the impact of technological change and skill utilization are briefly discussed, and existing models for forecasting manpower requirements are described and analyzed. A survey of current literature reveals a concentration of models for producing long-range national forecasts, but few models for generating…

Described is the development and evaluation of an anticipation game for measuring the ability of 30 special class teachers to predict responses of 290 educable retarded secondary students. The game was based on normative data from the students' responses to a 70 item test. The evaluation phase is said to involve 15 teachers playing 30 rounds of…