The history of a higher education demand assessment program in Manitoba is outlined, beginning with a sharp dip in enrollment in 1970. A three-year project was begun with three snapshot surveys of grade 12 decision-making in February, May, and June. The second year involved two snapshots, and the third used only one. During this time, attitudes…

Presented in this final volume are the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) members' commentaries and appendix. Included are: the members and staff of GMENAC; a preface; individual member's commentaries; appendices that include GMENAC recommendations from each of the other six volumes; a cross reference of GMENAC…

Population trends will have a significant impact on educators' decision making, not only because of declining enrollment, but also because employment patterns and staffing in schools and colleges will be affected. Among the factors that educators must contend with are: (1) The birth rate has been increasing slowly since 1974; (2) The reduction in…

Methods of academic resource planning for research-oriented colleges and universities are explored. Focus is on resource allocation that is not strictly related to overall institutional enrollment level, but with the desirability of maintaining a minimum or "critical mass" levels of program breadth and quality. The purpose of critical…

The college and university marketing system must be viewed as a separate but integrated area within the institution requiring its own planning and implementation cycle. The marketing concept as it applies to higher education means that a college or university exists to provide satisfaction to external and internal constituents (or segments…

This small study provides information on the numbers of doctorates in philosophy, history and English literature that universities in Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington and Wyoming expect to award between 1980 and 1982. A brief survey form was mailed to the heads of…

Current and projected manpower shortages in high technology areas are examined with respect to the region served by the Southern Regional Education Board (SREB). Many of the problems associated with the shortfall of trained individuals are viewed as connected to decreasing numbers of students taking advanced mathematics, and a lack of concerted…

A broad review of educational assessment during the past 40 years (1930's to 1970's) is presented. The review begins with the birth of the term "evaluation", when the depression made educators aware of the need for new programs and ways to appraise them, and continues into an explanation of the Eight-Year Study (1933-41), which gave attention to…

Based on enrollment projections for the 14 southern states, this profile provides one possible picture of the future of higher education in the South. The report suggests that: (1) the growth of total enrollment will slow and then decline through 1985; (2) nondegree enrollment will increase and bachelor's degree-oriented enrollment will decrease…

A method of projecting an institution's demand for higher education programs is presented. Demand was measured by the dependent variable of number of applications received by the institution. A model of independent variables that determine the demand was presented, including both exogenous variables, such as demographic patterns, national and…

Expansion in the South for providing professional education in medicine, veterinary medicine, and law was undertaken to extend access to desirable professionals to young people and to increase the supply of needed professionals in underserved areas. How these objectives have been met is analyzed from an economist's perspective by relating supply…

Higher education is exhibiting three trends or influences: (1) declining enrollments; (2) a low priority for postsecondary education relative to other demands on our public and personal budgets; and (3) scarce resources. The author expresses some skepticism about the strength of these influences. The birth rate is declining, but enrollments are…

This assessment of the future job market for social science graduates is made both generically and separately for certain disciplines. The definition of the social sciences follows the USOE definition and includes: anthropology, archeology, economics, history, geography, political science, sociology, criminology, international relations, urban…

In most developing countries the net private benefit of higher education exceeds its net social benefit because education-related wage differentials are excessive and the beneficiaries of higher education are subsidized. The resulting political pressures seem to favor investment in education over the creation of employment opportunities. A more…

This report presents the prototype software resulting from an initial research effort in the development of a comprehensive national planning model for higher education. The software for the prototype model requires as input existing or derivable institutional and student data and is designed to permit prototype planning studies to examine the…