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ERIC Number: ED325501
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1990-Jul
Pages: 49
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Proceedings of the Annual Federal Forecasters Conference (2nd, Washington, D.C., September 6-7, 1989).
Sonnenberg, William; And Others
The Second Annual Federal Forecasters Conference, "Forecasting and Public Policy", provided a forum where forecasters from various Federal agencies could meet and discuss aspects of forecasting in the U.S. Government. A total of 140 forecasters from 42 Federal agencies and other organizations attended the conference. Opening remarks by Co-Chairs W. C. Sonnenberg, D. E. Gerald, S. Ahmed, and B. V. Manno are summarized. The keynote speech, "Program Projection in a Dynamic Environment", by Major General W. H. Reno; and the featured speech, "Importance of Forecasting to Budget Policy", by R. G. Penner of the Urban Institute are presented. Brief summaries are included for the following panel discussions and accompanying papers: (1) "Overview of Projection Activities at Federal Agencies" (panel); (2) "Lessons from Strategic Planning in Federal Agencies" (panel); (3) "Small-Area Projections" (panel); (4) "GRAF-FIX" (D. G. Hackmann); (5) "Small-Area Projections at Bureau of Economic Analysis" (K. Johnson); (6) "Forecast Evaluation" (panel); (7) "Useful Criteria to Select Which Forecast or Estimation Method Is Better" (B. Klugh, Jr.); (8) "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts" (H. O. Stekler); (9) "Forecasting Techniques" (panel); (10) "Traffic Forecasting" (P. I. Hazen); (11) "Forecasting Postal Mail Volumes" (J. B. Cohen); (12) "Forecasting and Public Policy" (panel); (13) "Forecasting and Policy Analysis" (T. Su); (14) "Forecasting Age-Related Disability: Ramifications for Public Policy" (S. C. Brown); (15) "Immigration Policy Issues" (E. M. Larson); (16)"Forecast Accuracy" (panel); (17) "Forecast Accuracy of U.S. Public School Enrollment Projections by State" (D. Gerald and W. C. Sonnenberg); (18) "The Accuracy of National Population Projections by Age" (J. F. Long); (19) "Econometric Models" (panel); (20) "The Development of a Small Multicountry Macroeconomic Model" (J. R. Malley); (21) "Bureau of Health Profession's Econometric Model of the Dental Sector" (G. L. Bronstein and H. Traxler); (22) "Forecasting Models" (panel); (23) "PCAEO Model" (M. D. Lehr); (24) "The Treasury Estate Tax Micro-Simulation Model" (D. Joulfaian); (25) "Forecasting in Federal Agencies: How Long Is the Chain?" (panel); (26) "Manpower Planning" (panel); (27) "Supply and Demand of New Science and Engineering Ph.D.'s" (E. Collins); and (28) "Physician Manpower Planning" (J. Katzoff and J. Cultice). The conference agenda is provided, and participants' names and addresses are listed. A bibliography of 68 Federal forecasting publications is included. (SLD)
Publication Type: Collected Works - Proceedings
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Center for Education Statistics (ED), Washington, DC.
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A