ERIC Number: EJ1461903
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2025-Mar
Pages: 19
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0268-3679
EISSN: EISSN-1471-6976
Available Date: 2024-05-14
The Mathematics Pipeline in England: Inclusion and the Excellence Stream
Christopher Brignell1; Andrew Noyes2; Laurie Jacques3
Teaching Mathematics and Its Applications, v44 n1 p28-46 2025
In England, there is currently heightened political interest in increasing mathematics attainment and maximizing post-16 participation. The latter is not merely an issue for upper secondary but requires a long-view of students' mathematical progress. This paper reports such a system-level overview of the mathematics education pipeline in England based on analysis of linked data from the National Pupil Database (NPD) and Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA). A sequence of mixed-effect logistic regression models at each phase of the education pipeline are developed to predict attainment in General Certificate of Secondary Education (GCSE), A level and undergraduate mathematics and participation in post-16 and university mathematics. In particular, we focus on the impact of prior attainment and student demographics: gender, ethnicity and socio-economic status. The analysis identifies four important findings. Firstly, female participation and attainment in A level Mathematics and Further Mathematics is lower than that of male students, which impacts their representation in undergraduate mathematics, despite them marginally outperforming male students at both GCSE and degree level. Secondly, the attainment and participation of students of Asian ethnicity in GCSE and A level Mathematics is striking in its positive divergence from the trends of other ethnic groups, whereas White students have higher attainment than other ethnic groups at university. Thirdly, many students from poorer backgrounds fall behind their peers during years 7 to 11, and their participation and attainment in A level Mathematics is also reduced compared to their more affluent peers. Lastly, students who study A level Further Mathematics are more likely to study undergraduate mathematics, but they are no more likely to achieve a first-class degree, compared to those who haven't studied Further Mathematics. The findings should be informative to policymakers and other stakeholders who can put in place enhancements and interventions to improve the outcomes for underrepresented groups.
Descriptors: Mathematics Education, Foreign Countries, Systems Approach, Inclusion, Mathematics Achievement, Educational Attainment, Postsecondary Education, College Mathematics, Prior Learning, Undergraduate Students, Student Participation, Academic Degrees
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Postsecondary Education; Higher Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: United Kingdom (England)
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: 1School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham, NG7 2RD, UK; 2School of Education, University of Nottingham, Jubilee Campus, Wollaton Road, Nottingham, NG8 1BB, UK; 3UCL Institute of Education, 20 Bedford Way, London, WC1H 0AL, UK